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Gornik Zabrze vs Legia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, Zabrze
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gornik Zabrze host Legia in the Ekstraklasa. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Legia have shipped 0.93 goals a game lately, while Gornik Zabrze have conceded 1.06 and scored 1.45. Past meetings favor Legia slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.56) point toward Legia. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Gornik Zabrze
30%
Draws
43%
Legia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Legia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Legia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Legia's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Gornik Zabrze Clean Sheet 15%
Legia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gornik Zabrze Legia
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 20
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 1.45 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.06 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Legia vs Gornik Zabrze
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Gornik Zabrze vs Legia
3:1
Apr 6, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Gornik Zabrze vs Legia
1:2
Sep 28, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Legia vs Gornik Zabrze
1:1
Apr 1, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Gornik Zabrze vs Legia
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gornik Zabrze 15 / 100
Legia 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gornik Zabrze Legia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Legia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gornik Zabrze's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Legia has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Gornik Zabrze remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gornik Zabrze VS Legia
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gornik Zabrze

(Home)
18 Oct
Gornik Zabrze
1 : 1
Piast Gliwice
10 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 3
Gornik Zabrze
02 Oct
Gornik Zabrze
0 : 2
Odra Opole
19 Sept
Motor Lublin
0 : 0
Gornik Zabrze
15 Sept
Korona Kielce
0 : 2
Gornik Zabrze
Page 1 of 7

Legia

(Away)
17 Oct
Cracovia
1 : 1
Legia
11 Oct
Legia
2 : 0
Wisla
03 Oct
Legia
5 : 1
Korona Kielce
26 Sept
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2 : 4
Legia
20 Sept
Jagiellonia
1 : 3
Legia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gornik Zabrze 11 8 2 1 20:10 26
2 Lech Poznan 10 8 1 1 27:9 25
3 Legia 11 6 5 0 22:9 23
4 Pogon Szczecin 10 6 3 1 15:6 21
5 GKS Katowice 11 6 0 5 22:16 18
6 Wisla 11 5 3 3 17:14 18
7 Zaglebie 11 5 3 3 13:13 18
8 Piast Gliwice 11 5 2 4 19:17 17
9 Korona Kielce 11 4 3 4 13:18 15
10 Wisla Plock 10 4 2 4 10:15 14
11 Cracovia 11 3 3 5 13:16 12
12 Motor Lublin 11 3 3 5 15:19 12
13 Jagiellonia 10 4 0 6 13:17 12
14 Widzew Lodz 11 1 7 3 14:15 10
15 KS Wieczysta Krakow 11 2 2 7 16:21 8
16 Radomiak Radom 11 2 2 7 9:24 8
17 Slask Wroclaw 11 1 3 7 14:22 6
18 Rakow Czestochowa 11 2 0 9 15:26 6
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)