Sport Picks
Gornyak Khromtay vs Cesna Almaty
Kazakhstan
First Division 2007 AI Match Summary
Gornyak Khromtay in this First Division 2007 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gornyak Khromtay.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cesna Almaty
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Cesna Almaty lately — more wins on the board than Gornyak Khromtay.
- Win probability leans Cesna Almaty's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular First Division 2007 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Gornyak Khromtay Clean Sheet 20%
Cesna Almaty Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gornyak Khromtay | Cesna Almaty |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 3 | 10 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 24 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 0 | 2 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 19, 2007 First League
Gornyak Khromtay vs Cesna Almaty
2:1
May 4, 2007 First League
Cesna Almaty vs Gornyak Khromtay
0:2
Oct 8, 2006 First League
Gornyak Khromtay vs Cesna Almaty
3:1
May 7, 2006 First League
Cesna Almaty vs Gornyak Khromtay
3:0
Oct 1, 2005 First League
Cesna Almaty vs Gornyak Khromtay
5:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gornyak Khromtay 10 / 100
Cesna Almaty 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gornyak Khromtay Cesna Almaty
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CES Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Cesna Almaty has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.
Gornyak Khromtay scored in 40% of their last 30 games.
Away concern: Cesna Almaty has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Cesna Almaty
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Gornyak Khromtay
(Home) 11 Oct
Gornyak Khromtay
0 : 3 FK Ayzharik Shimkent
08 Oct
Gornyak Khromtay
0 : 3 Taraz
30 Sept
Aktobe 2
3 : 0 Gornyak Khromtay
27 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
3 : 0 Gornyak Khromtay
19 Sept
Gornyak Khromtay
0 : 3 Avangard Petropavlovsk
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Gornyak Khromtay
0 : 3 FK Ayzharik Shimkent
08 Oct
Gornyak Khromtay
0 : 3 Taraz
19 Sept
Gornyak Khromtay
0 : 3 Avangard Petropavlovsk
16 Sept
Gornyak Khromtay
0 : 3 Asbest Zitikara
06 Sept
Gornyak Khromtay
0 : 3 Akzhayik Uralsk
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Cesna Almaty
(Away) 27 Jun
Ertis Pavlodar
4 : 0 Cesna Almaty
20 Jun
Cesna Almaty
1 : 4 Ertis Pavlodar
16 May
Cesna Almaty
1 : 0 Atyrau
09 Feb
Cesna Almaty
2 : 2 Ertis Pavlodar
23 Oct
CSKA Almaty
0 : 1 Cesna Almaty
Page 1 of 7
27 Jun
Ertis Pavlodar
4 : 0 Cesna Almaty
23 Oct
CSKA Almaty
0 : 1 Cesna Almaty
13 Oct
Kyzylzhar
1 : 2 Cesna Almaty
10 Oct
Okzhetpes
3 : 0 Cesna Almaty
23 Sept
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3 Cesna Almaty
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Megasport Almaty | 22 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 89:10 | 64 |
| 2 | Akzhayik Uralsk | 22 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 57:14 | 56 |
| 3 | Kaspij Aktau | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 46:23 | 43 |
| 4 | Aktobe 2 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 38:32 | 37 |
| 5 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan 2 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 32:46 | 29 |
| 6 | Gornyak Khromtay | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 31:39 | 27 |
| 7 | Ordabasy 2 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 38:58 | 23 |
| 8 | Cesna Almaty | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 33:30 | 23 |
| 9 | Kaisar Kyzylorda 2 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 25:38 | 23 |
| 10 | Zhambyl Taraz | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22:38 | 18 |
| 11 | Zhastar Uralsk | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 21:70 | 16 |
| 12 | Munaily Atyrau | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 27:61 | 15 |
Promotion - First Division 2007 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Energetik Pavlodar | 26 | 24 | 0 | 2 | 62:10 | 72 |
| 2 | Kazakhmys | 26 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 67:14 | 69 |
| 3 | Aksu | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 65:25 | 58 |
| 4 | Avangard Petropavlovsk | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 35:34 | 44 |
| 5 | Zhetysu-Sunkar Taldykorgan | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 47:39 | 39 |
| 6 | Ertis Pavlodar 2 | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 50:42 | 38 |
| 7 | Asbest Zitikara | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 34:42 | 35 |
| 8 | Shakhter Karagandy 2 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 30:33 | 32 |
| 9 | Spartak Semey | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:49 | 29 |
| 10 | Shakhter Yunost | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 25:38 | 24 |
| 11 | Tobol 2 | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 32:49 | 23 |
| 12 | Vostok Oskemen 2 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 25:61 | 20 |
| 13 | Rakhat Astana | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 25:56 | 18 |
| 14 | Batyr Ekibastuz | 26 | 0 | 10 | 16 | 8:42 | 10 |
Promotion - First Division 2007 (Championship Group)