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Gosport Borough vs Chichester City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Trophy
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the FA Trophy. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Gosport Borough have averaged 1.68 scored and 1.57 conceded recently, against Chichester City's 1.76 scored and 1.52 conceded. Past meetings favor Chichester City slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 26, 2025, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.50 - 1.44) back Chichester City to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Gosport Borough
15%
Draws
48%
Chichester City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chichester City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chichester City come out ahead of Gosport Borough on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Chichester City arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Gosport Borough Clean Sheet 16%
Chichester City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gosport Borough Chichester City
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.68 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Chichester City vs Gosport Borough
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gosport Borough 31 / 100
Chichester City 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gosport Borough Chichester City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chichester City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gosport Borough scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Chichester City conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Gosport Borough stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Gosport Borough VS Chichester City
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gosport Borough

(Home)
20 Oct
Wimborne
3 : 0
Gosport Borough
17 Oct
Gosport Borough
4 : 0
Basingstoke
10 Oct
Bath City
1 : 2
Gosport Borough
07 Oct
Gosport Borough
1 : 3
Poole Town
30 Sept
Gosport Borough
1 : 1
Bracknell Town
Page 1 of 6

Chichester City

(Away)
20 Oct
Chichester City
3 : 1
Berkhamsted Town
17 Oct
Bracknell Town
1 : 0
Chichester City
13 Oct
Sholing
2 : 3
Chichester City
10 Oct
Chichester City
3 : 1
Plymouth Parkway
29 Sept
Hanworth Villa
2 : 1
Chichester City
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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