Sport Picks

England

Southern League Premier South

Dorchester

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gosport Borough play Dorchester in the Southern League Premier South. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gosport Borough averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Dorchester averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. In past meetings, Gosport Borough won 2, Dorchester won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Feb 21, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Gosport Borough and 1.31 for Dorchester. This points to a Gosport Borough double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Gosport Borough

34%

Draws

24%

Dorchester

Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: Gosport Borough

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Gosport Borough picked up more points recently compared to Dorchester.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 85%

Over 2.5 Goals 66%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%

Gosport Borough Clean Sheet 18%

Dorchester Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gosport Borough	Dorchester
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	13	6
Draws	4	10
Losses	13	14
Goals Scored	1.53	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.8	1.93
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Southern League Premier South

Gosport Borough vs Dorchester

Possession: 46% - 48% Cards: 3 - 1

2:2

Nov 29, 2025 Southern League Premier South

Dorchester vs Gosport Borough

Possession: 53% - 43% Cards: 2 - 2

2:2

Mar 8, 2025 Southern League Premier South

Dorchester vs Gosport Borough

Possession: 44% - 54% Cards: 0 - 2

0:2

Nov 13, 2024 Southern League Premier South

Gosport Borough vs Dorchester

Possession: 43% - 44% Cards: 0 - 2

2:2

Feb 10, 2024 Southern League Premier South

Dorchester vs Gosport Borough

Possession: 42% - 56% Cards: 1 - 1

0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gosport Borough Compare

Top Goalscorer Kasimu H.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Wooden D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Dorchester Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Robinson W.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gosport Borough 41 / 100

Dorchester 24 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gosport Borough Dorchester

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Gosport Borough or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.2%

1.67

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gosport Borough attacking → ← attacking Dorchester

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gosport Borough scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Dorchester let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Gosport Borough went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Dorchester lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 28

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Walton & Hersham	42	29	5	8	94:42	92
2	Farnham	42	25	9	8	90:50	84
3	Gloucester City	42	25	7	10	93:51	82
4	Poole Town	42	21	12	9	80:50	75
5	Berkhamsted Town	42	21	9	12	62:50	72
6	Sholing	42	18	15	9	74:53	69
7	Chertsey Town	42	19	10	13	64:55	67
8	Gosport Borough	42	19	6	17	74:75	63
9	Uxbridge	42	15	14	13	74:70	59
10	Havant & Waterlooville	42	17	7	18	78:70	58
11	Plymouth Parkway	42	16	8	18	64:79	56
12	Bracknell Town	42	15	10	17	70:71	55
13	Yate	42	14	10	18	57:62	52
14	Hanwell Town	42	14	10	18	57:63	52
15	Wimborne	42	12	15	15	63:62	51
16	Taunton Town	42	14	9	19	65:70	51
17	Basingstoke	42	14	9	19	61:71	51
18	Evesham	42	11	14	17	51:62	47
19	Weymouth	42	13	8	21	53:71	47
20	Dorchester	42	9	13	20	48:79	40
21	Hungerford	42	9	11	22	47:87	38
22	Tiverton	42	5	3	34	39:115	18