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Gosport Borough vs Poole Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier South
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Own Goal
45' Event
Goodship B.
55' Event
Slade H.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South game between Gosport Borough and Poole Town finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Poole Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Gosport Borough
20%
Draws
52%
Poole Town
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Poole Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Poole Town come out ahead of Gosport Borough on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Poole Town's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Gosport Borough Clean Sheet 15%
Poole Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gosport Borough Poole Town
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.43 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Gosport Borough vs Poole Town
1:3
Mar 21, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Gosport Borough vs Poole Town
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Poole Town vs Gosport Borough
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 FA Cup
Gosport Borough vs Poole Town
0:3
Feb 8, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Gosport Borough vs Poole Town
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gosport Borough Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Poole Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Goodship B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Slade H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gosport Borough 15 / 100
Poole Town 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gosport Borough Poole Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Poole Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gosport Borough's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Poole Town has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Gosport Borough remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gosport Borough VS Poole Town
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gosport Borough

(Home)
07 Oct
Gosport Borough
1 : 3
Poole Town
30 Sept
Gosport Borough
1 : 1
Bracknell Town
26 Sept
Tiverton
1 : 3
Gosport Borough
19 Sept
Basingstoke
1 : 1
Gosport Borough
12 Sept
Gosport Borough
3 : 1
Taunton Town
Page 1 of 6

Poole Town

(Away)
07 Oct
Gosport Borough
1 : 3
Poole Town
03 Oct
Poole Town
3 : 1
Evesham
29 Sept
Chertsey Town
1 : 3
Poole Town
26 Sept
Poole Town
1 : 0
Basingstoke
12 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
0 : 1
Poole Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poole Town 10 7 0 3 17:12 21
2 Plymouth Parkway 9 6 2 1 23:8 20
3 Uxbridge 9 6 2 1 19:8 20
4 Hanworth Villa 9 6 1 2 17:8 19
5 Bath City 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
6 Frome Town 10 4 3 3 17:13 15
7 Chertsey Town 9 4 2 3 20:15 14
8 Taunton Town 9 4 1 4 23:22 13
9 Chichester City 9 4 1 4 14:16 13
10 Evesham 9 4 1 4 14:17 13
11 Berkhamsted Town 10 4 1 5 11:14 13
12 Wimborne 8 3 3 2 10:4 12
13 Gosport Borough 10 3 3 4 13:13 12
14 Yate 9 3 3 3 13:18 12
15 Bracknell Town 9 3 2 4 11:18 11
16 Sholing 8 3 1 4 9:12 10
17 Basingstoke 9 2 3 4 14:16 9
18 Hanwell Town 8 1 4 3 7:10 7
19 Gloucester City 9 1 4 4 12:17 7
20 Chippenham Town 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
21 Havant & Waterlooville 9 1 2 6 9:16 5
22 Malvern Town 9 1 2 6 13:25 5
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
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Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)