Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gotha vs Bautzen

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013 game between Gotha and Bautzen finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bautzen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Gotha
20%
Draws
80%
Bautzen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bautzen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Bautzen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Gotha are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Gotha Clean Sheet 15%
Bautzen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gotha Bautzen
Matches Played 30 45
Wins 5 22
Draws 4 10
Losses 21 13
Goals Scored 0.97 2.04
Goals Conceded 2.47 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2013 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Gotha vs Bautzen
0:1
Sep 30, 2012 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs Gotha
4:0
May 19, 2012 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs Gotha
2:2
Dec 3, 2011 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Gotha vs Bautzen
0:0
Feb 27, 2011 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs Gotha
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gotha 39 / 100
Bautzen 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gotha Bautzen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gotha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gotha scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Bautzen conceded in 67% of 45 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Bautzen's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bautzen
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gotha

(Home)
09 Jun
Erfurt II
5 : 2
Gotha
02 Jun
Gotha
0 : 2
Jena II
26 May
Aue II
4 : 1
Gotha
22 May
Gotha
2 : 4
Wacker Nordhausen
18 May
Gotha
1 : 2
Fortuna Chemnitz
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Bautzen

(Away)
12 Sept
Einheit Wernigerode
2 : 2
Bautzen
28 Aug
Bautzen
0 : 3
Auerbach
16 Aug
Einheit Rudolstadt
0 : 0
Bautzen
09 Aug
Bautzen
2 : 5
Eilenburg
03 Jul
Bautzen
0 : 14
Dresden
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wacker Nordhausen 30 20 7 3 60:22 67
2 Bautzen 30 18 7 5 66:27 61
3 Markranstadt 30 15 12 3 61:23 57
4 Hallescher II 30 17 5 8 64:38 56
5 Dresden II 30 14 12 4 45:22 54
6 Jena II 30 13 5 12 50:42 44
7 Heidenauer 30 11 10 9 47:45 43
8 Halle 30 11 10 9 39:46 43
9 Chemnitzer II 30 9 10 11 42:45 37
10 Piesteritz 30 10 7 13 43:58 37
11 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 10 6 14 30:41 36
12 Erfurt II 30 10 3 17 37:53 33
13 Aue II 30 9 5 16 49:50 32
14 Fortuna Chemnitz 30 7 8 15 36:69 29
15 Gotha 30 5 4 21 29:74 19
16 Laubsdorf 30 3 5 22 22:65 14
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2013/2014 (Main)