Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gotha vs Bautzen

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013 game between Gotha and Bautzen finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bautzen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Gotha
33%
Draws
40%
Bautzen
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Bautzen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Bautzen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Bautzen are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Gotha Clean Sheet 19%
Bautzen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gotha Bautzen
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 5 19
Draws 4 10
Losses 21 9
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2013 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Gotha vs Bautzen
0:1
Sep 30, 2012 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs Gotha
4:0
May 19, 2012 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs Gotha
2:2
Dec 3, 2011 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Gotha vs Bautzen
0:0
Feb 27, 2011 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs Gotha
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gotha 28 / 100
Bautzen 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gotha Bautzen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gotha scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Bautzen conceded in 68% of 38 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Bautzen's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bautzen
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gotha

(Home)
09 Jun
Erfurt II
5 : 2
Gotha
02 Jun
Gotha
0 : 2
Jena II
26 May
Aue II
4 : 1
Gotha
22 May
Gotha
2 : 4
Wacker Nordhausen
18 May
Gotha
1 : 2
Fortuna Chemnitz
Page 1 of 6

Bautzen

(Away)
03 Jul
Bautzen
0 : 14
Dresden
30 May
Auerbach
4 : 2
Bautzen
17 May
Bautzen
3 : 1
Halberstadt
10 May
Halle
1 : 1
Bautzen
03 May
Heiligenstadt
2 : 3
Bautzen
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wacker Nordhausen30207360:2267
2Bautzen30187566:2761
3Markranstadt301512361:2357
4Hallescher II30175864:3856
5Dresden II301412445:2254
6Jena II301351250:4244
7Heidenauer301110947:4543
8Halle301110939:4643
9Chemnitzer II309101142:4537
10Piesteritz301071343:5837
11Einheit Rudolstadt301061430:4136
12Erfurt II301031737:5333
13Aue II30951649:5032
14Fortuna Chemnitz30781536:6929
15Gotha30542129:7419
16Laubsdorf30352222:6514
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2013/2014 (Main)