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Stadium Background

Gotha vs Erfurt II

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013 game between Gotha and Erfurt II finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Erfurt II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Gotha
15%
Draws
85%
Erfurt II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Erfurt II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Erfurt II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Erfurt II taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Erfurt II have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Gotha Clean Sheet 18%
Erfurt II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gotha Erfurt II
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 0.97 1.78
Goals Conceded 2.47 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2013 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Erfurt II vs Gotha
5:2
Apr 10, 2013 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Gotha vs Erfurt II
1:3
Apr 5, 2012 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Erfurt II vs Gotha
1:0
Aug 14, 2011 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Gotha vs Erfurt II
0:1
May 1, 2011 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Gotha vs Erfurt II
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gotha 10 / 100
Erfurt II 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gotha Erfurt II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erfurt II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Gotha's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Erfurt II let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Difficult form: Erfurt II registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Erfurt II
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gotha

(Home)
09 Jun
Erfurt II
5 : 2
Gotha
02 Jun
Gotha
0 : 2
Jena II
26 May
Aue II
4 : 1
Gotha
22 May
Gotha
2 : 4
Wacker Nordhausen
18 May
Gotha
1 : 2
Fortuna Chemnitz
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Erfurt II

(Away)
12 Jun
Bischofswerdaer
6 : 1
Erfurt II
05 Jun
Erfurt II
1 : 6
Bernburg
20 May
Schott Jena
3 : 2
Erfurt II
15 May
Erfurt II
2 : 0
Eisenach
08 May
Einheit Rudolstadt
0 : 2
Erfurt II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wacker Nordhausen 30 20 7 3 60:22 67
2 Bautzen 30 18 7 5 66:27 61
3 Markranstadt 30 15 12 3 61:23 57
4 Hallescher II 30 17 5 8 64:38 56
5 Dresden II 30 14 12 4 45:22 54
6 Jena II 30 13 5 12 50:42 44
7 Heidenauer 30 11 10 9 47:45 43
8 Halle 30 11 10 9 39:46 43
9 Chemnitzer II 30 9 10 11 42:45 37
10 Piesteritz 30 10 7 13 43:58 37
11 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 10 6 14 30:41 36
12 Erfurt II 30 10 3 17 37:53 33
13 Aue II 30 9 5 16 49:50 32
14 Fortuna Chemnitz 30 7 8 15 36:69 29
15 Gotha 30 5 4 21 29:74 19
16 Laubsdorf 30 3 5 22 22:65 14
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2013/2014 (Main)