Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026

Gotse Delchev

1 - 1

Kostinbrod

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between Gotse Delchev and Kostinbrod finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Gotse Delchev

22%

Draws

18%

Kostinbrod

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Gotse Delchev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Kostinbrod come out ahead of Gotse Delchev on wins alone.
Gotse Delchev are the model's pick here, at 60%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%

Gotse Delchev Clean Sheet 20%

Kostinbrod Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gotse Delchev	Kostinbrod
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	11	12
Draws	4	5
Losses	15	13
Goals Scored	2.13	0.88
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Third League - South-West

Gotse Delchev vs Kostinbrod

Possession: 44% - 51% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

Aug 9, 2025 Third League - South-West

Kostinbrod vs Gotse Delchev

Possession: 49% - 47% Cards: 3 - 3

5:3

Apr 9, 2022 Third League - South-West

Kostinbrod vs Gotse Delchev

Possession: 45% - 48% Cards: 3 - 4

1:0

Sep 25, 2021 Third League - South-West

Gotse Delchev vs Kostinbrod

Possession: 47% - 58% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gotse Delchev 58 / 100

Kostinbrod 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gotse Delchev Kostinbrod

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PIR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Gotse Delchev scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Kostinbrod's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Gotse Delchev has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gotse Delchev VS Kostinbrod

2.13 Goals Scored 0.88

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63

75% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rilski Sportist	34	25	5	4	58:23	80
2	Strumska Slava	34	20	5	9	71:45	65
3	Slavia Sofia 2	34	17	6	11	68:44	57
4	Botev Ihtiman	34	14	9	11	53:40	51
5	Kyustendil	34	15	5	14	49:52	50
6	CSKA Sofia III	34	15	5	14	49:43	50
7	Oborishte Panagyurishte	34	14	7	13	43:37	49
8	Balkan Botevgrad	34	13	10	11	50:45	49
9	Septemvri Sofia 2	34	13	9	12	50:43	48
10	Septemvri Simitli	34	13	8	13	41:40	47
11	Kostinbrod	34	14	5	15	47:51	47
12	Pirin Razlog	34	13	6	15	43:48	45
13	Bansko	34	11	11	12	39:45	44
14	Slivnishki Geroy	34	11	9	14	40:49	42
15	Levski Sofia II	34	11	7	16	30:44	40
16	Gotse Delchev	34	11	4	19	43:70	37
17	Germaneya	34	4	6	24	38:75	18
18	Bistritsa	34	11	5	18	44:62	38