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Goytacaz vs Belford Roxo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Douglas Cae
83' Event
Marcos Aranha

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Carioca B2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Goytacaz
30%
Draws
31%
Belford Roxo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Goytacaz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Goytacaz have won more games recently than Belford Roxo.
  • 31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Goytacaz Clean Sheet 20%
Belford Roxo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goytacaz Belford Roxo
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 13 8
Draws 8 11
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.28 1.44
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2025 Carioca B2
Belford Roxo vs Goytacaz
1:2
Nov 16, 2025 Carioca B2
Goytacaz vs Belford Roxo
0:0
Oct 19, 2025 Carioca B2
Goytacaz vs Belford Roxo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Goytacaz Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcos Aranha
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Belford Roxo Compare

Top Goalscorer Douglas Cae
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goytacaz 36 / 100
Belford Roxo 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goytacaz Belford Roxo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belford Roxo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Goytacaz's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Goytacaz stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Belford Roxo conceded in 56% of 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Goytacaz VS Belford Roxo
1 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Goytacaz

(Home)
03 Oct
Goytacaz
2 : 1
Duque de Caxias
26 Sept
Nova Cidade
1 : 2
Goytacaz
19 Sept
Goytacaz
0 : 2
Goncalense
12 Sept
Serrano FC
0 : 0
Goytacaz
05 Sept
Goytacaz
1 : 0
Macae
Page 1 of 6

Belford Roxo

(Away)
06 Oct
7 de Abril
0 : 2
Belford Roxo
01 Oct
Belford Roxo
3 : 0
Santa Cruz RJ
27 Sept
Friburguense
2 : 2
Belford Roxo
20 Sept
Belford Roxo
1 : 2
Cardoso Moreira
13 Sept
Campos AA
2 : 2
Belford Roxo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Cruz RJ 8 7 1 0 14:3 22
2 Belford Roxo 8 5 1 2 17:8 16
3 Goytacaz 8 5 1 2 13:8 16
4 Macae 8 4 1 3 13:5 13
5 Serra Macaense 8 3 4 1 9:7 13
6 Paraty 8 2 2 4 9:10 8
7 7 de Abril 8 2 2 4 11:13 8
8 FC Rio de Janeiro 8 1 0 7 7:25 3
9 Barra Mansa 8 0 2 6 4:18 2
Promotion - Carioca B2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Main)