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Goytacaz vs Macae

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Lekinho
22' Event
Lekinho
45' Event
Marcos Aranha

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-1, with Goytacaz advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Goytacaz
35%
Draws
19%
Macae
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Goytacaz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Goytacaz come out ahead of Macae on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Goytacaz's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Goytacaz have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Macae, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Goytacaz Clean Sheet 68%
Macae Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goytacaz Macae
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 8 5
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.33 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 7, 2025 Carioca B2
Goytacaz vs Macae
4:1
Nov 30, 2025 Carioca B2
Macae vs Goytacaz
1:1
Oct 13, 2025 Carioca B2
Macae vs Goytacaz
0:1
Feb 18, 2019 Carioca
Goytacaz vs Macae
1:2
Jan 26, 2019 Carioca
Macae vs Goytacaz
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Goytacaz Compare

Top Goalscorer Lekinho
2 Goals
Assists Leader Marcos Aranha
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Macae Compare

Top Goalscorer Pipico
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goytacaz 86 / 100
Macae 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goytacaz Macae

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Goytacaz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Goytacaz found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Macae let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Goytacaz has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Goytacaz VS Macae
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Goytacaz

(Home)
24 Jun
America RJ
:
Goytacaz
17 Jun
Goytacaz
:
America RJ
07 Dec
Goytacaz
4 : 1
Macae
30 Nov
Macae
1 : 1
Goytacaz
23 Nov
Belford Roxo
1 : 2
Goytacaz
Page 1 of 6

Macae

(Away)
23 Jun
Americano
2 : 1
Macae
17 Jun
Macae
0 : 0
Americano
07 Dec
Goytacaz
4 : 1
Macae
30 Nov
Macae
1 : 1
Goytacaz
23 Nov
Santa Cruz RJ
2 : 2
Macae
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Santa Cruz RJ 2
Macae 4
Belford Roxo 1
Goytacaz 2
Final
Macae 2
Goytacaz 5