Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-1, with Goytre AFC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Goytre AFC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Goytre AFC come out ahead of Pencoed on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Pencoed's way, sitting at 80%.
- Goytre AFC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Goytre AFC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 36.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Goytre AFC Clean Sheet 16%
Pencoed Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Goytre AFC | Pencoed |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 21 | 8 |
| Wins | 9 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 0 |
| Losses | 9 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 2.19 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.14 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.09 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 21, 2024 FAW Welsh Cup
Goytre AFC vs Pencoed
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Goytre AFC 11 / 100
Pencoed 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Goytre AFC Pencoed
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pencoed Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Goytre AFC found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (21 games).
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Pencoed let in goals in 75% of their last 8 matches.
Away concern: Pencoed has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Goytre AFC VS Pencoed
0.38 Goals Scored 2.4
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.8
25% Over 1.5 80%
13% Over 2.5 80%
13% Over 3.5 60%
Recent Form & Match History
Goytre AFC
(Home) 07 Jul
Barry Town
3 : 1 Goytre AFC
09 Jul
Trethomas Bluebirds
1 : 2 Goytre AFC
28 Jun
Baglan Dragons
5 : 1 Goytre AFC
16 Nov
Airbus UK Broughton FC
7 : 1 Goytre AFC
22 Oct
Goytre AFC
1 : 0 Cardiff Draconians
Page 1 of 5
22 Oct
Goytre AFC
1 : 0 Cardiff Draconians
21 Sept
Goytre AFC
3 : 1 Pencoed
10 Mar
Goytre AFC
0 : 1 Pontardawe
07 Mar
Goytre AFC
2 : 2 Aberbargoed Buds
21 Feb
Goytre AFC
1 : 0 Abergavenny Town
Page 1 of 2
Pencoed
(Away) 21 Sept
Goytre AFC
3 : 1 Pencoed
08 Oct
Pencoed
0 : 1 Aberystwyth
17 Sept
Pencoed
6 : 2 Brecon Corinthians
04 Sept
Pencoed
0 : 3 Llantwit Major
14 Aug
Pencoed
5 : 0 Treharris Athletic
Page 1 of 2
21 Sept
Goytre AFC
3 : 1 Pencoed
20 Oct
Ton Pentre
3 : 1 Pencoed
07 Oct
Pontyclun FC
0 : 1 Pencoed
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Cardiff Corries 4
Risca United 1
TBD -
Afan Lido -
Llantwit Major 3
Ely Rangers 2
Caldicot 1
Morriston Town 2
Cambrian United -
TBD -
TBD -
Goytre Utd -
Llandudno FC 4
Llanberis FC 0
Kinmel Bay 3
Brickfield Rangers 1
Penydarren 4
Porthcawl Town 3
TBD -
Pontypridd United -
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 3
Cwmbran Town 1
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Llandudno Amateurs 0
Holyhead 4
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Llannefydd 1
Rhydymwyn 0
Trearddur Bay 2
NFA 1
Penybont -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TNS -
TBD -
St. Asaph 0
Llangollen 2
Buckley 7
Builth 2
TBD -
Colwyn Bay -
Holywell Town FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Ruthin Town -
Queens Park 1
Porthmadog 6
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Goytre AFC 3
Pencoed 1
St Joseph's 0
Cardiff Draconians 3
Caersws FC 5
Cefn Albion 0
Rhyl 2
Flint Mountain 1
Bangor 1876 -
TBD -
Corwen 0
Llay Welfare 1
Barry Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Caerau Ely -
Cardiff Bay Warriors 2
West End 0
Ynysygerwn 1
Rogerstone 3
Flint Town -
TBD -
Gresford 9
Prestatyn 0
Bala -
TBD -
Carno FC 0
Llanrhaeadr 4
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Trefelin 4
Newport Corinthians 1
Llwydcoed 0
Connahs Q. -
TBD -
TBD -
Guilsfield -
Penrhyncoch 2
Talysarn Celts 1
TBD -
Mold Alexandra -
New Inn 2
Abertillery Bluebirds 1
TBD -
Briton Ferry -
Llanrwst United 5
Menai Bridge Tigers 1
Llansannan 0
Cerrigydrudion 2
Denbigh -
TBD -
Llangefni 7
Gaerwen 1
Penmaenmawr Phoenix 1
Llanuwchllyn 2
TBD -
Newtown -
Aber Valley 3
Cwmamman United 1
Pure Swansea 5
Baglan Dragons 0
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
Ammanford Town -
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
Taffs Well 0
Trethomas Bluebirds 1
Treherbert 1
Clwb Cymric 2
TBD -
Llanelli -
Newport City 0
Monmouth 2
Chepstow Town 0
Pill 1
1/32-finals
Cardiff Corries 3
Afan Lido 4
Llantwit Major 1
Morriston Town 2
Cambrian United 1
Goytre Utd 0
Llandudno FC 4
Kinmel Bay 3
Penydarren 2
Pontypridd United 0
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 3
Carmarthen Town 4
Holyhead 1
Caernarfon 0
Llannefydd 1
Trearddur Bay 2
Penybont 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
TNS 16
Llangollen 0
Buckley 2
Colwyn Bay 3
Holywell Town FC 1
Ruthin Town 2
Porthmadog 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Goytre AFC 1
Cardiff Draconians 0
Caersws FC 7
Rhyl 4
Bangor 1876 2
Llay Welfare 1
Barry Town 3
Caerau Ely 4
Cardiff Bay Warriors 2
Rogerstone 4
Flint Town 5
Gresford 1
Bala 3
Llanrhaeadr 1
Trefelin 5
Newport Corinthians 0
Connahs Q. 5
Guilsfield 0
Penrhyncoch 1
Mold Alexandra 3
New Inn 0
Briton Ferry 3
Llanrwst United 2
Cerrigydrudion 1
Denbigh 4
Llangefni 2
Llanuwchllyn 1
Newtown 0
Aber Valley 0
Pure Swansea 2
Aberystwyth 0
Ammanford Town 1
Haverfordwest 1
Trethomas Bluebirds 0
Clwb Cymric 0
Llanelli 3
Monmouth 2
Pill 3
1/16-finals
Afan Lido 2
Morriston Town 1
Cambrian United 3
Llandudno FC 2
Penydarren 2
Carmarthen Town 3
Holyhead 1
Trearddur Bay 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
TNS 3
Colwyn Bay 2
Ruthin Town 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 7
Goytre AFC 1
Caersws FC 2
Bangor 1876 1
Caerau Ely 8
Rogerstone 1
Flint Town 2
Bala 3
Trefelin 1
Connahs Q. 2
Mold Alexandra 2
Briton Ferry 1
Llanrwst United 0
Denbigh 3
Llanuwchllyn 3
Pure Swansea 0
Ammanford Town 1
Haverfordwest 2
Llanelli 4
Pill 0
1/8-finals
Afan Lido 0
Cambrian United 1
Carmarthen Town 1
Holyhead 0
TNS 4
Colwyn Bay 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Caersws FC 0
Caerau Ely 1
Bala 0
Connahs Q. 1
Mold Alexandra 0
Denbigh 7
Llanuwchllyn 1
Haverfordwest 0
Llanelli 2
Quarter-finals
Cambrian United 3
Carmarthen Town 1
TNS 5
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
Caerau Ely 0
Connahs Q. 2
Denbigh 0
Llanelli 1
Semi-finals
Cambrian United 0
TNS 5
Connahs Q. 2
Llanelli 1
Final
TNS 2
Connahs Q. 1
