Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Goytre Utd vs Risca United

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Hopkins J.
(Penalty)
33' Event
Thomas M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Cymru South 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Goytre Utd
15%
Draws
34%
Risca United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Goytre Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Risca United lately — more wins on the board than Goytre Utd.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Goytre Utd Clean Sheet 68%
Risca United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goytre Utd Risca United
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 1.39 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.36 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 10, 2021 Cymru South
Goytre Utd vs Risca United
1:1
Nov 5, 2021 Cymru South
Risca United vs Goytre Utd
1:1
Dec 17, 2016 Division 1
Risca United vs Goytre Utd
0:4
Aug 13, 2016 Division 1
Goytre Utd vs Risca United
0:1
Apr 16, 2016 Division 1
Goytre Utd vs Risca United
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Goytre Utd Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Risca United Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomas M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goytre Utd 41 / 100
Risca United 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goytre Utd Risca United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Goytre Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Risca United conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Goytre Utd's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Risca United registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Goytre Utd VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Goytre Utd

(Home)
04 Jul
Goytre Utd
1 : 2
Barry Town
17 Oct
Goytre Utd
0 : 6
Cambrian United
20 Sept
Goytre Utd
2 : 1
Ammanford Town
15 Jul
Ton Pentre
1 : 2
Goytre Utd
28 Jun
Goytre Utd
2 : 3
Cambrian United
Page 1 of 7

Risca United

(Away)
21 Sept
Cardiff Corries
4 : 1
Risca United
08 Oct
Risca United
1 : 5
Penybont
16 Sept
Risca United
4 : 2
Aberbargoed Buds
30 Apr
Afan Lido
2 : 1
Risca United
18 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
3 : 3
Risca United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llantwit Major 30 24 2 4 73:31 74
2 Pontypridd United 30 21 6 3 79:30 69
3 Briton Ferry 30 17 5 8 76:36 56
4 Cambrian United 30 15 6 9 73:42 51
5 Carmarthen Town 30 15 9 6 52:25 51
6 Goytre Utd 30 15 6 9 55:36 51
7 Taffs Well 30 14 7 9 57:47 49
8 Pure Swansea 30 11 7 12 44:43 40
9 Llanelli 30 11 7 12 43:54 40
10 Afan Lido 30 12 3 15 45:67 39
11 Trefelin 30 9 10 11 58:51 37
12 Ammanford Town 30 10 4 16 58:56 34
13 Cwmbran Celtic 30 10 4 16 43:74 34
14 Risca United 30 7 10 13 43:51 31
15 Undy 30 5 2 23 41:84 17
16 Port Talbot 30 0 0 30 8:121 0
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2022/2023 (Main)