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Gozzano vs Castanese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Rancati F.
28' Event
Own Goal
63' Event
Gatelli L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 game between Gozzano and Castanese finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Gozzano
30%
Draws
12%
Castanese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gozzano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gozzano come out ahead of Castanese on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Gozzano's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Gozzano Clean Sheet 20%
Castanese Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gozzano Castanese
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 16 5
Draws 13 11
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.29 1
Goals Conceded 1.08 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs Castanese
2:2
Sep 11, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Castanese vs Gozzano
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gozzano Compare

Top Goalscorer Dalmasso A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Castanese Compare

Top Goalscorer Rancati F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gatelli L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gozzano 76 / 100
Castanese 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gozzano Castanese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gozzano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castanese let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Gozzano's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Gozzano remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gozzano VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gozzano

(Home)
27 Sept
Gozzano
2 : 1
Sanremese
21 Sept
Fezzanese
0 : 2
Gozzano
16 Sept
Gozzano
0 : 0
Borgosesia Calcio
12 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 0
Gozzano
06 Sept
Gozzano
3 : 0
GSD Lascaris
Page 1 of 8

Castanese

(Away)
14 May
Derthona FbC
1 : 0
Castanese
07 May
Ligorna
2 : 1
Castanese
30 Apr
Castanese
1 : 1
Stresa Vergante
23 Apr
Vado
2 : 0
Castanese
16 Apr
Castanese
3 : 3
AC Chieri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sestri Levante 38 30 4 4 77:29 94
2 Sanremese 38 21 11 6 59:33 74
3 Bra 38 21 11 6 59:31 74
4 Vado 38 19 12 7 61:40 69
5 Ligorna 38 17 15 6 50:36 66
6 Legnano 38 17 9 12 53:35 60
7 Asti Calcio 38 13 18 7 44:35 57
8 Gozzano 38 16 7 15 51:48 55
9 Borgosesia Calcio 38 14 10 14 54:54 52
10 PDHA 38 12 11 15 33:43 47
11 Castellanzese 38 11 13 14 51:55 46
12 AC Chieri 38 10 15 13 41:45 45
13 Fezzanese 38 11 12 15 47:58 45
14 Chisola 38 11 10 17 43:53 43
15 Pinerolo 38 8 18 12 38:44 42
16 Derthona FbC 38 9 15 14 55:62 42
17 Castanese 38 9 12 17 43:57 39
18 Stresa Vergante 38 7 13 18 37:47 34
19 Casale 38 5 9 24 28:79 24
20 Fossano 38 1 11 26 40:80 14
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Out)