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Gozzano vs NovaRomentin

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Pavesi M.
73' Event
Sangiorgio L.

AI Match Summary

Gozzano in this Serie D - Group A matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gozzano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Gozzano
6%
Draws
4%
NovaRomentin
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gozzano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gozzano lately — more wins on the board than NovaRomentin.
  • Gozzano are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Gozzano Clean Sheet 68%
NovaRomentin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gozzano NovaRomentin
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 11 3
Losses 10 22
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs NovaRomentin
2:0
Sep 14, 2025 Serie D - Group A
NovaRomentin vs Gozzano
2:1
Feb 2, 2025 Serie D - Group A
NovaRomentin vs Gozzano
2:1
Oct 6, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs NovaRomentin
1:1
Apr 21, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs NovaRomentin
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gozzano Compare

Top Goalscorer Pavesi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sangiorgio L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

NovaRomentin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gozzano 95 / 100
NovaRomentin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gozzano NovaRomentin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NovaRomentin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Away concern: NovaRomentin has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Gozzano scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Gozzano VS NovaRomentin
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gozzano

(Home)
10 May
Derthona FbC
1 : 2
Gozzano
03 May
Gozzano
1 : 0
Cairese
26 Apr
AS Biellese
2 : 0
Gozzano
19 Apr
Gozzano
3 : 2
Chisola
12 Apr
Valenzana
1 : 1
Gozzano
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NovaRomentin

(Away)
03 May
Ligorna
9 : 1
NovaRomentin
26 Apr
NovaRomentin
0 : 5
Vado
19 Apr
Club Milano
6 : 1
NovaRomentin
12 Apr
NovaRomentin
1 : 2
Imperia Calcio
02 Apr
Sestri Levante
5 : 2
NovaRomentin
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vado34246469:2478
2Ligorna34219464:2672
3AS Biellese34169948:2957
4Varese FC341681043:4356
5Chisola341671144:3655
6Sestri Levante341591054:3454
7Sanremese3413101137:3049
8Valenzana341291333:4845
9Celle Varazze341281441:4744
10Saluzzo3411101348:4443
11Club Milano341261643:4942
12Imperia Calcio3410111336:4441
13Cairese349131229:3440
14Derthona FbC341171636:4640
15Gozzano349121337:4239
16Asti Calcio348111532:4235
17Lavagnese345121732:5227
18NovaRomentin34632526:8216
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)