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Gozzano vs NovaRomentin

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Pavesi M.
73' Event
Sangiorgio L.

AI Match Summary

Gozzano in this Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gozzano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Gozzano
15%
Draws
0%
NovaRomentin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gozzano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gozzano lately — more wins on the board than NovaRomentin.
  • Gozzano are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Gozzano Clean Sheet 68%
NovaRomentin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gozzano NovaRomentin
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 5
Draws 11 3
Losses 9 23
Goals Scored 1.1 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.17 2.55
Expected Goals (xG) 3.06 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs NovaRomentin
2:0
Sep 14, 2025 Serie D - Group A
NovaRomentin vs Gozzano
2:1
Feb 2, 2025 Serie D - Group A
NovaRomentin vs Gozzano
2:1
Oct 6, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs NovaRomentin
1:1
Apr 21, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs NovaRomentin
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gozzano Compare

Top Goalscorer Pavesi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sangiorgio L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.35
Avg xA / game 1.53

NovaRomentin Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gozzano 95 / 100
NovaRomentin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gozzano NovaRomentin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gozzano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NovaRomentin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Away concern: NovaRomentin has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Gozzano scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Gozzano VS NovaRomentin
1.13 Goals Scored 0.83
1.25 Goals Conceded 5
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Gozzano

(Home)
27 Sept
Gozzano
2 : 1
Sanremese
21 Sept
Fezzanese
0 : 2
Gozzano
16 Sept
Gozzano
0 : 0
Borgosesia Calcio
12 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 0
Gozzano
06 Sept
Gozzano
3 : 0
GSD Lascaris
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NovaRomentin

(Away)
03 May
Ligorna
9 : 1
NovaRomentin
26 Apr
NovaRomentin
0 : 5
Vado
19 Apr
Club Milano
6 : 1
NovaRomentin
12 Apr
NovaRomentin
1 : 2
Imperia Calcio
02 Apr
Sestri Levante
5 : 2
NovaRomentin
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)