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Gozzano vs Pinerolo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Pereira L.
40' Event
Schimmenti E.
45' Event
Ozara D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 game between Gozzano and Pinerolo finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Gozzano
35%
Draws
19%
Pinerolo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gozzano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Gozzano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Gozzano a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Gozzano Clean Sheet 68%
Pinerolo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gozzano Pinerolo
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 13 11
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.17 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs Pinerolo
2:2
Oct 4, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Pinerolo vs Gozzano
0:3
Jan 8, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Pinerolo vs Gozzano
0:4
Sep 4, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs Pinerolo
2:3
Jan 15, 2017 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs Pinerolo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gozzano Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereira L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Schimmenti E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Pinerolo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozara D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andretta M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gozzano 95 / 100
Pinerolo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gozzano Pinerolo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gozzano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Gozzano scored in 74% of their last 35 games.

Pinerolo let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Gozzano stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gozzano VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gozzano

(Home)
27 Sept
Gozzano
2 : 1
Sanremese
21 Sept
Fezzanese
0 : 2
Gozzano
16 Sept
Gozzano
0 : 0
Borgosesia Calcio
12 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 0
Gozzano
06 Sept
Gozzano
3 : 0
GSD Lascaris
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Pinerolo

(Away)
12 May
AC Chieri
0 : 0
Pinerolo
05 May
Pinerolo
0 : 2
Alba
28 Apr
Sanremese
0 : 0
Pinerolo
21 Apr
Pinerolo
1 : 1
Ligorna
14 Apr
Varese FC
1 : 1
Pinerolo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alcione Milano 38 23 10 5 70:27 79
2 Chisola 38 21 9 8 64:37 72
3 Varese FC 38 18 12 8 49:33 66
4 Vado 38 17 14 7 51:28 65
5 NovaRomentin 38 18 11 9 58:38 65
6 Bra 38 18 11 9 47:30 65
7 Ligorna 38 17 12 9 44:37 63
8 Asti Calcio 38 16 11 11 42:33 59
9 Albenga 38 15 15 8 51:33 58
10 Sanremese 38 13 13 12 34:33 52
11 Fezzanese 38 14 9 15 42:50 51
12 Gozzano 38 10 15 13 35:38 45
13 Lavagnese 38 11 11 16 46:47 44
14 Vogherese 38 10 12 16 42:57 42
15 Derthona FbC 38 9 14 15 34:52 41
16 AC Chieri 38 8 15 15 39:52 39
17 Pinerolo 38 8 13 17 25:44 37
18 Alba 38 10 7 21 39:63 37
19 PDHA 38 5 7 26 25:63 22
20 Borgosesia Calcio 38 5 7 26 25:67 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)