Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Grad vs NK Polana

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

NK Polana in this 3. SNL - East 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored NK Polana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Grad
11%
Draws
9%
NK Polana
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Grad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Not much separates Grad and NK Polana on recent form.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Grad taking it.
  • Regular 3. SNL - East 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Grad Clean Sheet 12%
NK Polana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grad NK Polana
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 18
Draws 6 2
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.88 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2019 3. SNL - East
NK Polana vs Grad
3:2
Mar 17, 2019 3. SNL - East
NK Polana vs Grad
0:1
Sep 30, 2018 3. SNL - East
Grad vs NK Polana
2:1
May 6, 2018 3. SNL - East
NK Polana vs Grad
2:1
Oct 22, 2017 3. SNL - East
Grad vs NK Polana
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grad 74 / 100
NK Polana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grad NK Polana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grad found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

NK Polana has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: NK Polana has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Grad VS NK Polana
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Grad

(Home)
18 Oct
NK Carda Martjanci
1 : 0
Grad
14 Aug
Grad
1 : 4
Krsko Posavje
05 Jun
Koper
4 : 0
Grad
01 Jun
Odranci
1 : 1
Grad
26 May
Grad
3 : 0
Radgona
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NK Polana

(Away)
18 Nov
Aluminij
7 : 1
NK Polana
22 Oct
NK Polana
1 : 0
Zavrc
31 Oct
Bela Krajina
1 : 0
NK Polana
18 Sept
NK Polana
1 : 0
Odranci
02 Nov
NK Polana
1 : 4
Nafta
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Beltinci26204262:2164
2NK Polana26183573:2657
3Odranci26183562:2957
4Ljutomer26154754:3849
5Hotiza26144860:2846
6Grad26125953:3141
7Tromejnik261061044:4136
8Crensovci261051147:5435
9Rakican26951239:4632
10Turnisce26741527:5625
11Radgona26641620:5722
12NK Carda Martjanci26551630:4820
13Bogojina26611923:7419
14Slatina26431925:7015
Promotion - 3. SNL - Promotion Play Offs 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)