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Grad vs Sentjur

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sentjur in this 3. SNL - East 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sentjur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Grad
15%
Draws
36%
Sentjur
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Sentjur haven't matched Grad's recent run of results.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Grad taking it.
  • Regular 3. SNL - East 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Grad Clean Sheet 20%
Sentjur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grad Sentjur
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 18 9
Draws 6 4
Losses 7 19
Goals Scored 2.1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.19 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2014 3. SNL - East
Grad vs Sentjur
0:2
Nov 16, 2013 3. SNL - East
Sentjur vs Grad
2:0
Jun 5, 2011 3. SNL - East
Grad vs Sentjur
3:0
Nov 6, 2010 3. SNL - East
Sentjur vs Grad
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grad 85 / 100
Sentjur 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grad Sentjur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Grad scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Sentjur conceded in 91% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Sentjur lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Grad VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Grad

(Home)
18 Oct
NK Carda Martjanci
1 : 0
Grad
14 Aug
Grad
1 : 4
Krsko Posavje
05 Jun
Koper
4 : 0
Grad
01 Jun
Odranci
1 : 1
Grad
26 May
Grad
3 : 0
Radgona
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Sentjur

(Away)
27 May
Sentjur
1 : 4
SD Videm
19 May
Bistrica
3 : 2
Sentjur
13 May
Sampion Celje
4 : 1
Sentjur
05 May
Sentjur
3 : 2
Dravinja
02 May
Sentjur
2 : 4
Pohorje
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dravinja 26 20 6 0 82:16 66
2 Drava 26 18 3 5 59:23 57
3 Odranci 26 14 5 7 65:39 47
4 Rakican 26 13 7 6 52:38 46
5 Beltinci 26 13 5 8 48:38 44
6 Smarje 26 13 3 10 65:43 42
7 Nafta 26 11 6 9 39:38 39
8 Ljutomer 26 11 4 11 48:41 37
9 Malecnik 26 7 10 9 33:46 31
10 Tromejnik 26 9 3 14 44:53 30
11 Sentjur 26 8 1 17 31:80 25
12 Grad 26 5 7 14 39:55 22
13 Bistrica 26 4 4 18 40:70 16
14 NK Carda Martjanci 26 2 4 20 23:88 10
Promotion - 2. SNL 2014/2015 (Main)