Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gradacac vs Celik Zenica

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

Prva Liga - FBiH 2024/2025 Stadion Banja Ilidza, Gradacac
Our Tip

Match Events

51'
Popovic M.
51' Event
Facic E.
58'
Smajlovic N.

AI Match Summary

Gradacac in this Prva Liga - FBiH 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gradacac.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Gradacac
39%
Draws
31%
Celik Zenica
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Celik Zenica lately — more wins on the board than Gradacac.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Gradacac Clean Sheet 68%
Celik Zenica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gradacac Celik Zenica
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 11 22
Draws 4 11
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 2.33 2
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.33 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.67 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Celik Zenica vs Gradacac
1:1
Mar 29, 2025 Prva Liga - FBiH
Gradacac vs Celik Zenica
3:1
Sep 8, 2024 Prva Liga - FBiH
Celik Zenica vs Gradacac
2:0
Jun 9, 2024 Prva Liga - FBiH
Gradacac vs Celik Zenica
1:2
Nov 24, 2023 Prva Liga - FBiH
Celik Zenica vs Gradacac
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gradacac Compare

Top Goalscorer Facic E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.79
Avg xA / game 1.17

Celik Zenica Compare

Top Goalscorer Masetic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gradacac 41 / 100
Celik Zenica 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gradacac Celik Zenica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gradacac found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Celik Zenica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 38 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Gradacac has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gradacac VS Celik Zenica
2.33 Goals Scored 2
0.67 Goals Conceded 1.25
67% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gradacac

(Home)
01 Aug
FK Sloga Meridian
1 : 0
Gradacac
18 Jul
Zvijezda 09
0 : 6
Gradacac
10 Jul
Celik Zenica
1 : 1
Gradacac
08 Jun
Gradacac
6 : 2
TOSK Tesanj
01 Jun
Stupcanica
2 : 1
Gradacac
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Celik Zenica

(Away)
01 Aug
Celik Zenica
3 : 1
BSK Banja Luka
17 Jul
Celik Zenica
4 : 0
Zvijezda 09
10 Jul
Celik Zenica
1 : 1
Gradacac
06 Jun
NK GOSK Gabela
1 : 1
Celik Zenica
31 May
Celik Zenica
4 : 0
Igman Konjic
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stupcanica28166650:2954
2Bratstvo Gracanica281511238:3846
3Celik Zenica28136940:2945
4Hadzici28129741:3145
5Banovici28127942:3343
6Travnik28119837:3042
7Tuzla City281261033:3342
8Tomislav28118938:2841
9TOSK Tesanj281171041:3840
10Jedinstvo Bihac28109932:3239
11Gradina Srebrenik281071135:3637
12Gorazde28811932:3535
13Gradacac281031543:4033
14Gornji Rahic28871343:5631
15Radnicki Lukavac28142323:807
Promotion - WWIN Liga BiH 2025/2026 (Main)