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Gradacac vs TOSK Tesanj

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Serdarevic A.
44' Event
Kozic A.
53' Event
Osmic M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Gradacac and TOSK Tesanj finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TOSK Tesanj.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Gradacac
6%
Draws
4%
TOSK Tesanj
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gradacac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • TOSK Tesanj carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Gradacac are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Gradacac Clean Sheet 20%
TOSK Tesanj Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gradacac TOSK Tesanj
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 11 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 2.33 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.33 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.33 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.33 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2025 Prva Liga - FBiH
Gradacac vs TOSK Tesanj
6:2
Feb 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Gradacac vs TOSK Tesanj
2:3
Nov 24, 2024 Prva Liga - FBiH
TOSK Tesanj vs Gradacac
2:0
Mar 24, 2024 Prva Liga - FBiH
TOSK Tesanj vs Gradacac
3:2
Aug 27, 2023 Prva Liga - FBiH
Gradacac vs TOSK Tesanj
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gradacac Compare

Top Goalscorer Kozic A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Osmic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.79
Avg xA / game 1.17

TOSK Tesanj Compare

Top Goalscorer Serdarevic A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Karisik A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gradacac 85 / 100
TOSK Tesanj 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gradacac TOSK Tesanj

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Gradacac scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: TOSK Tesanj conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Gradacac stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gradacac VS TOSK Tesanj
2.33 Goals Scored 0.88
0.33 Goals Conceded 1.38
67% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gradacac

(Home)
18 Jul
Zvijezda 09
0 : 6
Gradacac
10 Jul
Celik Zenica
1 : 1
Gradacac
08 Jun
Gradacac
6 : 2
TOSK Tesanj
01 Jun
Stupcanica
2 : 1
Gradacac
25 May
Gradacac
3 : 0
Bratstvo Gracanica
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TOSK Tesanj

(Away)
07 Jun
Sloboda Tuzla
2 : 0
TOSK Tesanj
30 May
TOSK Tesanj
3 : 3
Tomislav
24 May
Travnik
0 : 1
TOSK Tesanj
17 May
TOSK Tesanj
2 : 2
NK GOSK Gabela
10 May
Celik Zenica
2 : 0
TOSK Tesanj
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