Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gradacac vs Zvijezda 09

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

Bosnia and Herzegovina Cup 2024/2025 Stadion Banja Ilidza, Gradacac
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Mitrovic A.
65' Event
Kozic A.
74' Event
Trnka E.

AI Match Summary

Gradacac in this Bosnia and Herzegovina Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Gradacac
15%
Draws
0%
Zvijezda 09
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gradacac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gradacac lately — more wins on the board than Zvijezda 09.
  • Win probability leans Gradacac's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Gradacac have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Gradacac, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Gradacac have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Gradacac Clean Sheet 20%
Zvijezda 09 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gradacac Zvijezda 09
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 7
Draws 4 4
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.61 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.32 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Zvijezda 09 vs Gradacac
0:6
Oct 30, 2024 Bosnia and Herzegovina Cup
Gradacac vs Zvijezda 09
2:1
Oct 3, 2018 Bosnia and Herzegovina Cup
Gradacac vs Zvijezda 09
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gradacac Compare

Top Goalscorer Kozic A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Trnka E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Zvijezda 09 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mitrovic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gradacac 85 / 100
Zvijezda 09 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gradacac Zvijezda 09

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gradacac Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Away concern: Zvijezda 09 has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Gradacac's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Zvijezda 09 conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Gradacac VS Zvijezda 09
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 3.5
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gradacac

(Home)
26 Sept
Gradacac
3 : 1
Jedinstvo Bihac
20 Sept
Travnik
1 : 0
Gradacac
12 Sept
Gradacac
1 : 1
Sloboda Tuzla
06 Sept
NK GOSK Gabela
1 : 0
Gradacac
29 Aug
Gradacac
2 : 0
Hadzici
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Zvijezda 09

(Away)
26 Sept
Zvijezda 09
1 : 2
Slavija
23 Sept
Nevesinje
2 : 1
Zvijezda 09
19 Sept
Zvijezda 09
1 : 4
Leotar
11 Sept
Romanija Pale
2 : 0
Zvijezda 09
05 Sept
Zvijezda 09
1 : 4
Majevica
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Sloboda Novi Grad 0
FK Sarajevo 2
Gornji Rahic 0
FK Sloga Meridian 1
Mladost Solina 0
Igman Konjic 2
NK Zepce 1
Zrinjski 2
Famos Vojkovici 5
Slavija 2
Famos Hrasnica 0
Posusje 3
Laktasi 0
Borac Banja Luka 2
Celik Zenica 2
Stupcanica 1
Troglav Livno 0
Siroki Brijeg 9
Rudar Prijedor 1
NK GOSK Gabela 2
Svatovac Poljice 0
Velez Mostar 2
Bratstvo Gracanica 0
Radnik Bijeljina 5
Krusevo 2
Sloboda Tuzla 1
Gradacac 2
Zvijezda 09 1
Leotar 0
Zeljeznicar 3
Vares 3
Kozara 2
1/8-finals
FK Sarajevo 3
FK Sloga Meridian 1
Igman Konjic 0
Zrinjski 1
Famos Vojkovici 1
Posusje 0
Borac Banja Luka 3
Celik Zenica 0
Siroki Brijeg 1
NK GOSK Gabela 0
Velez Mostar 2
Radnik Bijeljina 1
Krusevo 2
Gradacac 0
Zeljeznicar 6
Vares 0
Quarter-finals
FK Sarajevo 2
Zrinjski 1
Famos Vojkovici 1
Borac Banja Luka 5
Siroki Brijeg 4
Velez Mostar 1
Krusevo 2
Zeljeznicar 11
Semi-finals
FK Sarajevo 2
Borac Banja Luka 1
Siroki Brijeg 3
Zeljeznicar 1
Final
FK Sarajevo 5
Siroki Brijeg 1