Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gradina Srebrenik vs Gorazde

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

Prva Liga - FBiH 2024/2025 Gradski stadion, Srebrenik
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Dzuderija A.
27'
Islamagic A.
28' Event
Stjepanovic S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Gradina Srebrenik in this Prva Liga - FBiH 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gradina Srebrenik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Gradina Srebrenik
20%
Draws
44%
Gorazde
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gorazde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Gorazde at 1.29 per game, Gradina Srebrenik at 1.18.
  • Model gives Gorazde a 44% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Prva Liga - FBiH 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Gradina Srebrenik Clean Sheet 15%
Gorazde Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gradina Srebrenik Gorazde
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 11
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.18 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2025 Prva Liga - FBiH
Gradina Srebrenik vs Gorazde
2:1
Nov 17, 2024 Prva Liga - FBiH
Gorazde vs Gradina Srebrenik
0:0
May 22, 2024 Prva Liga - FBiH
Gorazde vs Gradina Srebrenik
3:2
Oct 28, 2023 Prva Liga - FBiH
Gradina Srebrenik vs Gorazde
0:0
Apr 15, 2023 Prva Liga - FBiH
Gorazde vs Gradina Srebrenik
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gradina Srebrenik Compare

Top Goalscorer Andric D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Gorazde Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gradina Srebrenik 19 / 100
Gorazde 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gradina Srebrenik Gorazde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gorazde Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gradina Srebrenik found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Gorazde has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Gradina Srebrenik went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gradina Srebrenik VS Gorazde
0.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
25% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gradina Srebrenik

(Home)
28 Oct
Gradina Srebrenik
1 : 4
Siroki Brijeg
08 Jun
Celik Zenica
1 : 1
Gradina Srebrenik
31 May
Gradina Srebrenik
2 : 1
Gorazde
21 May
Banovici
0 : 0
Gradina Srebrenik
17 May
Gradina Srebrenik
0 : 4
TOSK Tesanj
Page 1 of 6

Gorazde

(Away)
08 Jun
Gorazde
1 : 2
Tomislav
31 May
Gradina Srebrenik
2 : 1
Gorazde
25 May
Gorazde
4 : 1
Gornji Rahic
17 May
Gorazde
3 : 0
Radnicki Lukavac
10 May
Banovici
4 : 1
Gorazde
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stupcanica 28 16 6 6 50:29 54
2 Bratstvo Gracanica 28 15 1 12 38:38 46
3 Celik Zenica 28 13 6 9 40:29 45
4 Hadzici 28 12 9 7 41:31 45
5 Banovici 28 12 7 9 42:33 43
6 Travnik 28 11 9 8 37:30 42
7 Tuzla City 28 12 6 10 33:33 42
8 Tomislav 28 11 8 9 38:28 41
9 TOSK Tesanj 28 11 7 10 41:38 40
10 Jedinstvo Bihac 28 10 9 9 32:32 39
11 Gradina Srebrenik 28 10 7 11 35:36 37
12 Gorazde 28 8 11 9 32:35 35
13 Gradacac 28 10 3 15 43:40 33
14 Gornji Rahic 28 8 7 13 43:56 31
15 Radnicki Lukavac 28 1 4 23 23:80 7
Promotion - WWIN Liga BiH 2025/2026 (Main)