Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gramadense vs Monsoon

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF
Gramadense Logo

Gramadense

1 - 0
FT
Monsoon Logo

Monsoon

Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Matheus E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Gramadense
35%
Draws
37%
Monsoon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Monsoon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Gramadense average 0.9 goals a game right now, well clear of Monsoon's 0.87.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Gramadense taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Gramadense, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Gramadense Clean Sheet 68%
Monsoon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gramadense Monsoon
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 14 13
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 0.9 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2026 Copa FGF
Gramadense vs Monsoon
1:0
May 24, 2026 Copa FGF
Monsoon vs Gramadense
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gramadense Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Monsoon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gramadense 46 / 100
Monsoon 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gramadense Monsoon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Monsoon conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Gramadense scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Gramadense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gramadense VS Monsoon
0.88 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gramadense

(Home)
23 Sept
Gramadense
1 : 1
Pelotas
19 Sept
GE Bage
1 : 1
Gramadense
16 Sept
Gramadense
0 : 0
Brasil de Farroupilha
12 Sept
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
3 : 1
Gramadense
09 Sept
Passo Fundo
2 : 0
Gramadense
Page 1 of 6

Monsoon

(Away)
17 Jun
Monsoon
2 : 1
Brasil de Farroupilha
11 Jun
Gramadense
1 : 0
Monsoon
08 Jun
Monsoon
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
30 May
Santa Cruz RS
3 : 1
Monsoon
24 May
Monsoon
1 : 2
Gramadense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gramadense 6 3 2 1 9:7 11
2 Santa Cruz RS 6 2 4 0 10:7 10
3 Monsoon 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
4 Brasil de Farroupilha 6 0 4 2 5:7 4
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasil de Pelotas 6 4 2 0 12:4 14
2 GE Bage 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
3 Guarany de Bage 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
4 Farroupilha 6 0 3 3 3:9 3
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)