Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gramadense vs Monsoon

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Matheus E.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Gramadense
30%
Draws
23%
Monsoon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gramadense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Very High Confidence
  • Gramadense have won more games recently than Monsoon.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Gramadense taking it.
  • Gramadense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Gramadense, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Gramadense Clean Sheet 68%
Monsoon Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gramadense Monsoon
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 14 8
Draws 11 13
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2026 Copa FGF
Gramadense vs Monsoon
1:0
May 24, 2026 Copa FGF
Monsoon vs Gramadense
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gramadense Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Monsoon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gramadense 68 / 100
Monsoon 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gramadense Monsoon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gramadense found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Monsoon let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Gramadense stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gramadense VS Monsoon
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gramadense

(Home)
06 Aug
SC Gaucho
0 : 1
Gramadense
01 Aug
Gramadense
0 : 1
Veranopolis
23 Jul
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 2
Gramadense
12 Jul
Gramadense
1 : 0
Brasil de Pelotas
05 Jul
Gramadense
1 : 1
GE Bage
Page 1 of 7

Monsoon

(Away)
17 Jun
Monsoon
2 : 1
Brasil de Farroupilha
11 Jun
Gramadense
1 : 0
Monsoon
08 Jun
Monsoon
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
30 May
Santa Cruz RS
3 : 1
Monsoon
24 May
Monsoon
1 : 2
Gramadense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gramadense 6 3 2 1 9:7 11
2 Santa Cruz RS 6 2 4 0 10:7 10
3 Monsoon 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
4 Brasil de Farroupilha 6 0 4 2 5:7 4
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasil de Pelotas 6 4 2 0 12:4 14
2 GE Bage 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
3 Guarany de Bage 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
4 Farroupilha 6 0 3 3 3:9 3
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)