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Gramadense vs Pelotas

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2
Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
90' Event

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 2 game between Gramadense and Pelotas finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Gramadense
35%
Draws
32%
Pelotas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pelotas come out ahead of Gramadense on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Gaucho 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Gramadense Clean Sheet 19%
Pelotas Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gramadense Pelotas
Matches Played 33 27
Wins 8 10
Draws 15 9
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 0.91 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2026 Gaucho 2
Gramadense vs Pelotas
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gramadense 32 / 100
Pelotas 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gramadense Pelotas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gramadense found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (33 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Gramadense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Pelotas has conceded goals in 59% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gramadense VS Pelotas
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gramadense

(Home)
19 Sept
GE Bage
1 : 1
Gramadense
16 Sept
Gramadense
0 : 0
Brasil de Farroupilha
12 Sept
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
3 : 1
Gramadense
09 Sept
Passo Fundo
2 : 0
Gramadense
05 Sept
Gramadense
2 : 2
EC Guarani
Page 1 of 7

Pelotas

(Away)
19 Sept
Pelotas
0 : 0
Brasil de Pelotas
16 Sept
Apafut
2 : 1
Pelotas
13 Sept
Pelotas
2 : 3
EC Guarani
09 Sept
Pelotas
0 : 0
Aimore
05 Sept
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
1 : 1
Pelotas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Passo Fundo 13 7 5 1 19:8 26
2 Veranopolis 13 6 4 3 11:6 22
3 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 13 5 6 2 15:10 21
4 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 13 5 6 2 14:9 21
5 Santa Cruz RS 13 5 6 2 12:8 21
6 Apafut 13 5 5 3 16:11 20
7 Aimore 13 5 5 3 13:11 20
8 Brasil de Farroupilha 13 4 8 1 13:9 20
9 Brasil de Pelotas 12 4 6 2 12:8 18
10 EC Guarani 13 3 6 4 14:18 15
11 Pelotas 12 3 5 4 12:15 14
12 SC Gaucho 13 3 3 7 10:13 12
13 GE Bage 13 2 6 5 9:16 12
14 GE Gloria 13 2 5 6 11:15 11
15 Gramadense 13 1 6 6 8:17 9
16 Lajeadense 13 1 2 10 5:20 5
Promotion - Gaucho 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2027 (Main)