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Gramenet vs Gava - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 5 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 5 2012/2013 game between Gramenet and Gava finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gramenet.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Gramenet
20%
Draws
36%
Gava
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gramenet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Gava carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Gramenet Clean Sheet 20%
Gava Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gramenet Gava
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 4 6
Draws 5 9
Losses 22 20
Goals Scored 0.68 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Gramenet vs Gava
1:3
Nov 2, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Gava vs Gramenet
0:1
Apr 14, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Gramenet vs Gava
2:1
Nov 25, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Gava vs Gramenet
0:1
Mar 4, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Gramenet vs Gava
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gramenet 32 / 100
Gava 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gramenet Gava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gava Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gava's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 35 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Gramenet scored in 52% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Gramenet stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gava
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gramenet

(Home)
11 May
FC Asco
1 : 0
Gramenet
04 May
Gramenet
1 : 0
UE Figueres
01 May
Pobla Mafumet
5 : 1
Gramenet
27 Apr
Gramenet
3 : 1
Manlleu AEC
23 Apr
Cerdanyola del Valles
2 : 1
Gramenet
Page 1 of 7

Gava

(Away)
28 Aug
Gava
0 : 0
Vilassar de Mar
20 Sept
Gava
3 : 4
Prat
13 May
Cerdanyola del Valles
1 : 1
Gava
06 May
Gava
2 : 0
Vilassar de Mar
29 Apr
FC Vilafranca
3 : 0
Gava
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olot 38 24 7 7 66:29 79
2 Cornella 38 23 10 5 70:35 79
3 CE Europa 38 21 12 5 55:25 75
4 Manlleu AEC 38 17 14 7 46:29 65
5 UE Figueres 38 16 11 11 52:45 59
6 Terrassa 38 15 12 11 47:36 57
7 Pobla Mafumet 38 14 10 14 49:50 52
8 UE Rapitenca 38 12 16 10 46:39 52
9 Gramenet 38 10 19 9 34:33 49
10 Gava 38 13 9 16 38:42 48
11 UE Rubi 38 11 14 13 58:52 47
12 Palamos CF 38 11 13 14 48:55 46
13 UE Castelldefels 38 11 12 15 31:45 45
14 Vilassar de Mar 38 11 11 16 44:47 44
15 Santboia 38 9 15 14 41:47 42
16 FC Vilafranca 38 11 9 18 35:53 42
17 Montanesa 38 8 16 14 32:49 40
18 Jupiter 38 9 10 19 41:59 37
19 UE Vic 38 8 12 18 40:61 36
20 Balaguer 38 4 12 22 35:77 24
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)