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Gramenet vs Gava

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Tercera Division - Group 5 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 5 2012/2013 game between Gramenet and Gava finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gramenet.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Gramenet
39%
Draws
30%
Gava
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Gava carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Gramenet Clean Sheet 20%
Gava Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gramenet Gava
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 4 6
Draws 5 9
Losses 22 20
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Gramenet vs Gava
1:3
Nov 2, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Gava vs Gramenet
0:1
Apr 14, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Gramenet vs Gava
2:1
Nov 25, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Gava vs Gramenet
0:1
Mar 4, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Gramenet vs Gava
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gramenet 32 / 100
Gava 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gramenet Gava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gava's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 35 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Gramenet scored in 52% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Gramenet stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gava
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gramenet

(Home)
11 May
FC Asco
1 : 0
Gramenet
04 May
Gramenet
1 : 0
UE Figueres
01 May
Pobla Mafumet
5 : 1
Gramenet
27 Apr
Gramenet
3 : 1
Manlleu AEC
23 Apr
Cerdanyola del Valles
2 : 1
Gramenet
Page 1 of 7

Gava

(Away)
28 Aug
Gava
0 : 0
Vilassar de Mar
20 Sept
Gava
3 : 4
Prat
13 May
Cerdanyola del Valles
1 : 1
Gava
06 May
Gava
2 : 0
Vilassar de Mar
29 Apr
FC Vilafranca
3 : 0
Gava
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olot38247766:2979
2Cornella382310570:3579
3CE Europa382112555:2575
4Manlleu AEC381714746:2965
5UE Figueres3816111152:4559
6Terrassa3815121147:3657
7Pobla Mafumet3814101449:5052
8UE Rapitenca3812161046:3952
9Gramenet381019934:3349
10Gava381391638:4248
11UE Rubi3811141358:5247
12Palamos CF3811131448:5546
13UE Castelldefels3811121531:4545
14Vilassar de Mar3811111644:4744
15Santboia389151441:4742
16FC Vilafranca381191835:5342
17Montanesa388161432:4940
18Jupiter389101941:5937
19UE Vic388121840:6136
20Balaguer384122235:7724
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)