Sport Picks
Gran Pena vs Montaneros Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 
Match Events
28'
28'
Otero Cortes J.
30'
30'
Coira A.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Gran Pena and Montaneros finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gran Pena
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Montaneros haven't matched Gran Pena's recent run of results.
- Model gives Gran Pena a 59% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Gran Pena Clean Sheet 68%
Montaneros Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gran Pena | Montaneros |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Gran Pena vs Montaneros
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Montaneros vs Gran Pena
1:1
Feb 15, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Montaneros vs Gran Pena
2:2
Sep 28, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Gran Pena vs Montaneros
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gran Pena Compare
Top Goalscorer Coira A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Montaneros Compare
Top Goalscorer Otero Cortes J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gran Pena 68 / 100
Montaneros 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gran Pena Montaneros
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gran Pena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gran Pena found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Montaneros's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Gran Pena went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Gran Pena VS Montaneros
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Gran Pena
(Home) 04 Oct
Gran Pena
3 : 2 Atletico Arteixo
26 Sept
Sarriana
3 : 2 Gran Pena
20 Sept
Gran Pena
0 : 0 Antela
13 Sept
Pontevedra B
1 : 2 Gran Pena
06 Sept
Gran Pena
1 : 2 Lalin
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Gran Pena
3 : 2 Atletico Arteixo
20 Sept
Gran Pena
0 : 0 Antela
06 Sept
Gran Pena
1 : 2 Lalin
03 May
Gran Pena
4 : 1 Racing Club Villalbes
19 Apr
Gran Pena
0 : 2 Alondras
Page 1 of 3
Montaneros
(Away) 03 Oct
Alondras
0 : 1 Montaneros
27 Sept
Montaneros
1 : 2 Viveiro
20 Sept
Estradense
3 : 1 Montaneros
13 Sept
Montaneros
2 : 3 Racing Club Villalbes
06 Sept
CD Boiro
3 : 2 Montaneros
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Alondras
0 : 1 Montaneros
20 Sept
Estradense
3 : 1 Montaneros
06 Sept
CD Boiro
3 : 2 Montaneros
03 May
CD Boiro
3 : 1 Montaneros
19 Apr
Compostela
2 : 2 Montaneros
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arosa SC | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 58:35 | 70 |
| 2 | Compostela | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 55:28 | 68 |
| 3 | Atletico Arteixo | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 54:44 | 58 |
| 4 | Estradense | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 46:33 | 53 |
| 5 | Racing Club Villalbes | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 36:29 | 52 |
| 6 | Gran Pena | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 57:42 | 51 |
| 7 | Somozas | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 37:32 | 51 |
| 8 | CD Boiro | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 45:29 | 51 |
| 9 | Lugo B | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 41:35 | 48 |
| 10 | Montaneros | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 48:42 | 48 |
| 11 | Barco | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 35:41 | 46 |
| 12 | Alondras | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Celtiga | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 47:48 | 40 |
| 14 | Viveiro | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 27:41 | 38 |
| 15 | Silva SD | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36:48 | 36 |
| 16 | Cambados | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 24:43 | 26 |
| 17 | Noia | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 28:57 | 25 |
| 18 | Barbadas-Bentraces | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 25:69 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
