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Gran Pena vs Rapido de Bouzas

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Torralbo Sanchez A.
61'
Lezcano R. D. J. I.
61'
Lezcano R. D. J. I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Gran Pena
15%
Draws
39%
Rapido de Bouzas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gran Pena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Rapido de Bouzas haven't matched Gran Pena's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Gran Pena a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Gran Pena Clean Sheet 20%
Rapido de Bouzas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gran Pena Rapido de Bouzas
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 10 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.89 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Gran Pena vs Rapido de Bouzas
1:1
Nov 11, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Rapido de Bouzas vs Gran Pena
1:2
Apr 1, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Rapido de Bouzas vs Gran Pena
1:0
Dec 8, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Gran Pena vs Rapido de Bouzas
1:2
Feb 1, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Rapido de Bouzas vs Gran Pena
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gran Pena Compare

Top Goalscorer Gil O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Rapido de Bouzas Compare

Top Goalscorer Torralbo Sanchez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gran Pena 36 / 100
Rapido de Bouzas 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gran Pena Rapido de Bouzas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gran Pena scored in 81% of their last 36 outings.

Rapido de Bouzas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Gran Pena stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gran Pena VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gran Pena

(Home)
26 Sept
Sarriana
3 : 2
Gran Pena
20 Sept
Gran Pena
0 : 0
Antela
13 Sept
Pontevedra B
1 : 2
Gran Pena
06 Sept
Gran Pena
1 : 2
Lalin
10 May
Noia
1 : 5
Gran Pena
Page 1 of 8

Rapido de Bouzas

(Away)
12 May
Rapido de Bouzas
5 : 1
Sarriana
05 May
Betanzos CF
1 : 0
Rapido de Bouzas
01 May
Rapido de Bouzas
2 : 0
Silva SD
27 Apr
Estradense
1 : 0
Rapido de Bouzas
20 Apr
Rapido de Bouzas
1 : 2
Lugo B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 34 21 10 3 49:19 73
2 Gran Pena 34 15 16 3 48:30 61
3 Arosa SC 34 15 13 6 39:23 58
4 UD Ourense 34 15 10 9 47:34 55
5 Sarriana 34 14 8 12 43:35 50
6 Atletico Arteixo 34 11 14 9 46:39 47
7 Somozas 34 12 9 13 43:39 45
8 Estradense 34 11 12 11 31:32 45
9 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 10 14 10 33:34 44
10 Viveiro 34 12 8 14 39:42 44
11 Alondras 34 10 14 10 37:36 44
12 Silva SD 34 11 10 13 35:35 43
13 Lugo B 34 11 10 13 32:34 43
14 Betanzos CF 34 10 13 11 35:31 43
15 Rapido de Bouzas 34 11 9 14 38:40 42
16 Paiosaco 34 10 11 13 30:42 41
17 Pontevedra B 34 7 5 22 27:65 26
18 Arzua 34 4 6 24 24:66 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)