Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gran Tarajal vs CD Buzanada

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

87' Event
Barry I.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2023/2024 game between Gran Tarajal and CD Buzanada finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Buzanada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Gran Tarajal
20%
Draws
64%
CD Buzanada
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Buzanada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Gran Tarajal haven't matched CD Buzanada's recent run of results.
  • 64% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Gran Tarajal Clean Sheet 22%
CD Buzanada Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gran Tarajal CD Buzanada
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 4 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 0.57 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Gran Tarajal vs CD Buzanada
0:1
Nov 4, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Buzanada vs Gran Tarajal
0:0
Jan 9, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Gran Tarajal vs CD Buzanada
1:0
Sep 5, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Buzanada vs Gran Tarajal
2:1
Jun 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Buzanada vs Gran Tarajal
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gran Tarajal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

CD Buzanada Compare

Top Goalscorer Barry I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gran Tarajal 37 / 100
CD Buzanada 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gran Tarajal CD Buzanada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Buzanada Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Buzanada has conceded goals in 69% of their last 36 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Away concern: CD Buzanada has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Gran Tarajal scored in 37% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Buzanada
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gran Tarajal

(Home)
12 May
Ibarra
4 : 0
Gran Tarajal
05 May
Gran Tarajal
2 : 2
Atletico Victoria
01 May
San Bartolome
2 : 0
Gran Tarajal
28 Apr
CD La Cuadra
2 : 0
Gran Tarajal
24 Apr
Gran Tarajal
0 : 1
CD Buzanada
Page 1 of 6

CD Buzanada

(Away)
10 May
Arucas
5 : 1
CD Buzanada
04 May
CD Buzanada
0 : 3
UD San Fernando
26 Apr
Union Viera
2 : 0
CD Buzanada
17 Apr
CD Buzanada
1 : 1
Estrella
12 Apr
San Miguel
1 : 3
CD Buzanada
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tenerife B 34 24 8 2 68:22 80
2 Lanzarote 34 22 9 3 64:28 75
3 Union Sur Yaiza 34 21 11 2 62:19 74
4 Las Palmas B 34 22 8 4 74:24 74
5 Panaderia 34 15 10 9 52:39 55
6 Arucas 34 11 14 9 51:41 47
7 CD Santa Ursula 34 10 13 11 35:38 43
8 San Bartolome 34 10 12 12 43:42 42
9 Villa Santa Brigida 34 9 14 11 41:36 41
10 Tamaraceite 34 11 8 15 42:56 41
11 CD Marino 34 10 9 15 42:53 39
12 CD Buzanada 34 9 12 13 29:42 39
13 Herbania 34 9 11 14 30:46 38
14 Ibarra 34 9 9 16 35:45 36
15 Atletico Victoria 34 8 8 18 33:53 32
16 Teror 34 6 8 20 29:67 26
17 Gran Tarajal 34 4 12 18 21:54 24
18 CD La Cuadra 34 6 4 24 26:72 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2023/2024 (Play Offs)