Sport Picks
Match Events
32'
32'
Ranera D. B.
67'
67'
Valeron J.
AI Match Summary
Illescas in this Copa Federacion 2023 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
6%
30%
64%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Illescas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Illescas lately — more wins on the board than Gran Tarajal.
- Win probability leans Illescas's way, sitting at 90%.
- Illescas arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Illescas, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Gran Tarajal Clean Sheet 20%
Illescas Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gran Tarajal | Illescas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 4 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 17 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.57 | 0.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 27, 2023 Copa Federacion
Gran Tarajal vs Illescas
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gran Tarajal Compare
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46
Illescas Compare
Top Goalscorer Ranera D. B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gran Tarajal 10 / 100
Illescas 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gran Tarajal Illescas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Illescas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Illescas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.
Gran Tarajal scored in 37% of their last 30 games.
Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.
Gran Tarajal has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Illescas
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Gran Tarajal
(Home) 12 May
Ibarra
4 : 0 Gran Tarajal
05 May
Gran Tarajal
2 : 2 Atletico Victoria
01 May
San Bartolome
2 : 0 Gran Tarajal
28 Apr
CD La Cuadra
2 : 0 Gran Tarajal
24 Apr
Gran Tarajal
0 : 1 CD Buzanada
Page 1 of 6
05 May
Gran Tarajal
2 : 2 Atletico Victoria
24 Apr
Gran Tarajal
0 : 1 CD Buzanada
21 Apr
Gran Tarajal
2 : 2 Teror
07 Apr
Gran Tarajal
0 : 0 Tamaraceite
09 Mar
Gran Tarajal
0 : 0 CD Santa Ursula
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Illescas
(Away) 03 Oct
Noblejas
1 : 2 Illescas
27 Sept
Illescas
2 : 0 Villarrubia
20 Sept
Quintanar del Rey
2 : 2 Illescas
13 Sept
Illescas
0 : 0 Socuellamos
05 Sept
CD Tarancon
0 : 1 Illescas
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Noblejas
1 : 2 Illescas
20 Sept
Quintanar del Rey
2 : 2 Illescas
05 Sept
CD Tarancon
0 : 1 Illescas
03 May
Villarrobledo
0 : 0 Illescas
19 Apr
La Solana
1 : 0 Illescas
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
San Roque de Lepe 1
Ciudad de Murcia 0
SP Villafranca 2
Puente Genil 0
Atletico Melilla 1
Polillas Atletico 0
Torre del Mar 3
El Palo 0
Guadalajara 2
Lanzarote 0
Gran Tarajal 0
Illescas 1
CF Talavera 2
Numancia 0
Union Adarve 2
Patacona 0
Vimenor 2
L Entregu CF 3
Marino De Luanco 2
Real Union 1
UD Logrones 2
CD Laredo 0
Gimnastic de Torrelavega 2
Ourense CF 1
SD Ibiza 0
Som Maresme 2
AD San Juan 3
Penya Independent 1
SD Ejea 1
Pena 0
Sant Andreu 1
Lleida 0
1/8-finals
San Roque de Lepe 1
SP Villafranca 0
Atletico Melilla 0
Torre del Mar 3
Guadalajara 4
Illescas 1
CF Talavera 2
Union Adarve 0
L Entregu CF 1
Marino De Luanco 0
UD Logrones 4
Gimnastic de Torrelavega 1
Som Maresme 3
AD San Juan 0
SD Ejea 2
Sant Andreu 1
Quarter-finals
San Roque de Lepe 4
Torre del Mar 1
Guadalajara 1
CF Talavera 2
L Entregu CF 0
UD Logrones 1
Som Maresme 3
SD Ejea 0
Semi-finals
San Roque de Lepe 1
CF Talavera 2
UD Logrones 2
Som Maresme 3
Final
CF Talavera 1
Som Maresme 2
