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Granada CF B vs Marbelli

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 Ciudad Deportiva del Granada, Granada
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Baeza M. G.
25' Event
Carmona K.
68'
Moreno C.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 game between Granada CF B and Marbelli finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Granada CF B
30%
Draws
43%
Marbelli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Marbelli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Marbelli carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Granada CF B's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Granada CF B Clean Sheet 16%
Marbelli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Granada CF B Marbelli
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 11 8
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.45 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Marbelli vs Granada CF B
0:1
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Granada CF B vs Marbelli
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Granada CF B Compare

Top Goalscorer Cortes S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moubeke D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Marbelli Compare

Top Goalscorer Baeza M. G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carmona K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Granada CF B 36 / 100
Marbelli 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Granada CF B Marbelli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Granada CF B's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Marbelli let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Granada CF B stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Granada CF B VS Marbelli
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Granada CF B

(Home)
27 Sept
Granada CF B
2 : 0
Cantoria
20 Sept
Atletico de Porcuna
2 : 1
Granada CF B
13 Sept
Granada CF B
4 : 0
UD San Pedro
06 Sept
CD Alhaurino
0 : 0
Granada CF B
10 May
Granada CF B
4 : 4
Mijas Las Lagunas
Page 1 of 6

Marbelli

(Away)
27 Sept
Marbelli
1 : 0
Torre del Mar
20 Sept
Huetor Vega
1 : 3
Marbelli
13 Sept
Marbelli
2 : 1
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
05 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1
Marbelli
10 May
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
0 : 2
Marbelli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mijas Las Lagunas 34 19 9 6 46:24 66
2 Motril 34 18 11 5 55:29 65
3 Torre del Mar 34 14 13 7 37:26 55
4 Arenas Armilla 34 15 9 10 38:29 54
5 Churriana de la Vega 34 14 10 10 32:40 52
6 Marbelli 34 14 9 11 36:28 51
7 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 13 11 10 39:38 50
8 UD San Pedro 34 13 10 11 39:37 49
9 Atletico de Porcuna 34 14 4 16 41:39 46
10 Huetor Vega 34 12 9 13 43:42 45
11 Granada CF B 34 10 14 10 49:47 44
12 CD Alhaurino 34 11 10 13 41:41 43
13 Melilla B 34 9 12 13 30:32 39
14 Mancha 34 9 10 15 30:38 37
15 Huetor Tajar 34 9 10 15 40:44 37
16 Martos 34 9 10 15 32:48 37
17 CD Torreperogil 34 9 6 19 24:45 33
18 El Palo 34 6 9 19 28:53 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 (Play Offs)