Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Granada CF vs Burgos CF

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 2025/2026 Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes, Granada
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Casadesus P.
34'
Atienza M.
46'
Sub
Naasei O. In: Diaby B.
Out: Naasei O.

AI Match Summary

The LaLiga2 2025/2026 game between Granada CF and Burgos CF finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Burgos CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Granada CF
35%
Draws
32%
Burgos CF
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Burgos CF come out ahead of Granada CF on wins alone.
  • Model gives Granada CF a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Granada CF Clean Sheet 20%
Burgos CF Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Granada CF Burgos CF
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 4 10
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.45 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 LaLiga2
Granada CF vs Burgos CF
0:1
Sep 22, 2025 LaLiga2
Burgos CF vs Granada CF
1:1
Jan 10, 2025 LaLiga2
Granada CF vs Burgos CF
0:0
Sep 29, 2024 LaLiga2
Burgos CF vs Granada CF
2:2
Mar 4, 2023 LaLiga2
Burgos CF vs Granada CF
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Granada CF Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Burgos CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez Ballesteros D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Granada CF 36 / 100
Burgos CF 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Granada CF Burgos CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Granada CF scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Granada CF remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Burgos CF conceded in 45% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Granada CF VS Burgos CF
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Granada CF

(Home)
12 Sept
Granada CF
1 : 1
Albacete
06 Sept
Eibar
3 : 0
Granada CF
30 Aug
Cordoba
1 : 3
Granada CF
24 Aug
Granada CF
2 : 0
Mallorca
15 Aug
Real Oviedo
0 : 0
Granada CF
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Burgos CF

(Away)
11 Sept
Burgos CF
3 : 1
AD Ceuta
06 Sept
Real Oviedo
0 : 0
Burgos CF
31 Aug
Burgos CF
2 : 2
Real Sociedad B
23 Aug
Gijon
1 : 0
Burgos CF
16 Aug
Burgos CF
3 : 2
Cordoba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Santander 42 25 7 10 90:61 82
2 Dep. A Coruna 42 22 11 9 65:44 77
3 Almeria 42 22 8 12 81:63 74
4 Malaga 42 21 10 11 75:52 73
5 Las Palmas 42 20 13 9 57:40 73
6 Castellon 42 20 12 10 70:51 72
7 Burgos CF 42 20 12 10 48:33 72
8 Eibar 42 19 10 13 52:40 67
9 Cordoba 42 17 10 15 57:61 61
10 Gijon 42 18 7 17 60:54 61
11 AD Ceuta 42 17 10 15 51:63 61
12 Albacete 42 16 11 15 56:55 59
13 FC Andorra 42 16 10 16 62:54 58
14 Granada CF 42 12 12 18 50:56 48
15 Real Sociedad B 42 12 11 19 52:61 47
16 Leganes 42 11 13 18 43:51 46
17 Valladolid 42 12 10 20 44:57 46
18 Cadiz 42 11 10 21 41:61 43
19 Mirandes 42 10 10 22 47:69 40
20 Huesca 42 9 11 22 41:63 38
21 Leonesa 42 9 10 23 39:68 37
22 Zaragoza 42 8 12 22 35:59 36
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