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Stadium Background

Grange Harlequins vs Aberbargoed Buds

Wales Wales

FA Cup 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Grange Harlequins in this FA Cup 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Grange Harlequins.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Grange Harlequins
22%
Draws
18%
Aberbargoed Buds
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Grange Harlequins

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Grange Harlequins have won more games recently than Aberbargoed Buds.
  • Model gives Grange Harlequins a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Grange Harlequins Clean Sheet 20%
Aberbargoed Buds Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grange Harlequins Aberbargoed Buds
Matches Played 30 16
Wins 7 4
Draws 3 4
Losses 20 8
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2009 FA Cup
Grange Harlequins vs Aberbargoed Buds
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grange Harlequins 58 / 100
Aberbargoed Buds 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grange Harlequins Aberbargoed Buds

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aberbargoed Buds's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 16 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Grange Harlequins stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Grange Harlequins scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aberbargoed Buds
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Bala1
Llanrug0
Caersws FC4
Coedpoeth1
Caerau Ely1
Afan Lido2
Connahs Q.3
Airbus UK Broughton FC2
Llangollen1
Llandudno Junction3
Cambrian United0
TNS2
Haverfordwest1
Aberystwyth2
Caldicot0
Port Talbot3
Prestatyn3
Grange Harlequins0
Porthmadog3
Rhydymwyn1
Rhyl4
Bridgend Town2
Pontardawe2
Llandudno FC0
Flint Town0
Bangor City1
Aberaman2
Ely Rangers0
Llanelli3
Carmarthen Town1
Llangeinor1
Holyhead6
1/8-finals
Bala2
Caersws FC0
Afan Lido2
Connahs Q.1
Llandudno Junction0
TNS6
Aberystwyth0
Port Talbot2
Prestatyn1
Porthmadog0
Rhyl7
Pontardawe0
Bangor City3
Aberaman1
Llanelli4
Holyhead0
Quarter-finals
Bala2
Afan Lido0
TNS2
Port Talbot3
Prestatyn5
Rhyl4
Bangor City2
Llanelli0
Semi-finals
Bala0
Port Talbot1
Prestatyn0
Bangor City2
Final
Port Talbot2
Bangor City3