Sport Picks

Wales

FA Cup 2012/2013

Llanwern FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Grange Harlequins play Llanwern FC in the FA Cup 2012/2013. It looks like a close match. Recently, Grange Harlequins averaged 1.1 goals scored and 2.8 conceded. Llanwern FC averaged 2.33 goals scored and 3.33 conceded. In past meetings, Grange Harlequins won 1, Llanwern FC won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 6, 2012 ended 4:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.98 for Grange Harlequins and 2.98 for Llanwern FC. This points to a Grange Harlequins double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

Grange Harlequins

15%

Draws

39%

Llanwern FC

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grange Harlequins

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Grange Harlequins picked up more points recently compared to Llanwern FC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.98 vs 2.98 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 71%

Over 3.5 Goals 43%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

Grange Harlequins Clean Sheet 10%

Llanwern FC Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 79%

Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Grange Harlequins	Llanwern FC
Matches Played	30	3
Wins	7	1
Draws	3	0
Losses	20	2
Goals Scored	1.1	2.33
Goals Conceded	2.8	3.33
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	2.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.63	3.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2012 FA Cup

Grange Harlequins vs Llanwern FC

Possession: 58% - 42% Cards: 0 - 2

4:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grange Harlequins 43 / 100

Llanwern FC 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Grange Harlequins Llanwern FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Grange Harlequins or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21%

2.63

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.3%

1.54

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Grange Harlequins attacking → ← attacking Llanwern FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grange Harlequins scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Llanwern FC let in goals in 67% of their last 3 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Grange Harlequins went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Llanwern FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 3

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.33

3.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.33