Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Granicar Zupanja in this 3. HNL East matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Granicar Zupanja.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Granicar Zupanja
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Oriolik have won more games recently than Granicar Zupanja.
- Granicar Zupanja are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Granicar Zupanja here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Granicar Zupanja Clean Sheet 13%
Oriolik Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Granicar Zupanja | Oriolik |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 33 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 18 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.15 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.71 | 2.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.50 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 14, 2022 3. HNL East
Granicar Zupanja vs Oriolik
3:1
Nov 10, 2021 3. HNL East
Oriolik vs Granicar Zupanja
1:0
Jun 3, 2021 3. HNL East
Granicar Zupanja vs Oriolik
4:0
Nov 7, 2020 3. HNL East
Oriolik vs Granicar Zupanja
0:4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Granicar Zupanja 84 / 100
Oriolik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Granicar Zupanja Oriolik
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Granicar Zupanja Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Oriolik conceded in 85% of 33 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.
Granicar Zupanja's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 34 recent games.
Oriolik lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Granicar Zupanja VS Oriolik
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 3.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Granicar Zupanja
(Home) 30 Aug
Granicar Zupanja
0 : 3 Croatia Zmijavci
08 Feb
Granicar Zupanja
1 : 4 Zrinski Osjecko
04 Feb
Bijelo Brdo
4 : 1 Granicar Zupanja
28 May
Granicar Zupanja
6 : 2 Darda
21 May
Vukovar 1991
1 : 1 Granicar Zupanja
Page 1 of 7
30 Aug
Granicar Zupanja
0 : 3 Croatia Zmijavci
08 Feb
Granicar Zupanja
1 : 4 Zrinski Osjecko
28 May
Granicar Zupanja
6 : 2 Darda
14 May
Granicar Zupanja
3 : 1 Oriolik
04 May
Granicar Zupanja
2 : 0 Sloga Nova Gradiska
Page 1 of 4
Oriolik
(Away) 09 Sept
Slavonija Pozega
4 : 0 Oriolik
10 Sept
Kurilovec
5 : 0 Oriolik
11 Sept
Slavonija Pozega
3 : 0 Oriolik
01 Nov
Oriolik
0 : 8 Din. Zagreb
27 Sept
Jadran Porec
0 : 1 Oriolik
Page 1 of 7
09 Sept
Slavonija Pozega
4 : 0 Oriolik
10 Sept
Kurilovec
5 : 0 Oriolik
11 Sept
Slavonija Pozega
3 : 0 Oriolik
27 Sept
Jadran Porec
0 : 1 Oriolik
18 Oct
Mladost Zdralovi
6 : 0 Oriolik
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vukovar 1991 | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 80:20 | 82 |
| 2 | Zrinski Osjecko | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 69:33 | 78 |
| 3 | Belisce | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 95:28 | 75 |
| 4 | Marsonia | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 61:25 | 70 |
| 5 | Slavonija Pozega | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 60:38 | 61 |
| 6 | Croatia Dakovo | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 60:38 | 59 |
| 7 | Bedem Ivankovo | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 53:52 | 47 |
| 8 | Slavija Pleternica | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 57:68 | 45 |
| 9 | Kutjevo | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 59:62 | 43 |
| 10 | Granicar Zupanja | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 43:52 | 40 |
| 11 | Sloga Nova Gradiska | 34 | 12 | 3 | 19 | 46:71 | 39 |
| 12 | Oriolik | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 43:71 | 38 |
| 13 | Cepin | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 46:64 | 34 |
| 14 | Darda | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 44:71 | 32 |
| 15 | Vuteks Sloga | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 52:81 | 31 |
| 16 | NASK Nasice | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 38:63 | 30 |
| 17 | Omladinac Gornja Vrba | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 35:63 | 30 |
| 18 | Slavonac Bukovlje | 34 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 36:77 | 25 |
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)
