Sport Picks
Granit Vladaya vs Bistritsa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
Third League - South-West 2024/2025 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Third League - South-West 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Granit Vladaya
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Bistritsa have won more games recently than Granit Vladaya.
- Model gives Granit Vladaya a 85% chance of winning this.
- Regular Third League - South-West 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Bistritsa have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Granit Vladaya Clean Sheet 20%
Bistritsa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Granit Vladaya | Bistritsa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 2 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 2 |
| Losses | 21 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.07 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.73 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 8, 2025 Third League - South-West
Granit Vladaya vs Bistritsa
1:1
Aug 14, 2024 Third League - South-West
Bistritsa vs Granit Vladaya
3:1
Apr 30, 2022 Third League - South-West
Bistritsa vs Granit Vladaya
2:0
Oct 9, 2021 Third League - South-West
Granit Vladaya vs Bistritsa
1:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Granit Vladaya 85 / 100
Bistritsa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Granit Vladaya Bistritsa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Granit Vladaya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bistritsa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 34 matches.
Away concern: Bistritsa has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Granit Vladaya scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
- VS Bistritsa
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Granit Vladaya
(Home) 03 Jun
Granit Vladaya
1 : 4 Levski Sofia II
31 May
Granit Vladaya
0 : 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad 2
24 May
Septemvri Simitli
4 : 0 Granit Vladaya
17 May
Granit Vladaya
1 : 2 CSKA Sofia III
14 May
Slavia Sofia 2
1 : 0 Granit Vladaya
Page 1 of 6
03 Jun
Granit Vladaya
1 : 4 Levski Sofia II
31 May
Granit Vladaya
0 : 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad 2
17 May
Granit Vladaya
1 : 2 CSKA Sofia III
10 May
Granit Vladaya
0 : 1 Pirin Razlog
26 Apr
Granit Vladaya
0 : 4 Bansko
Page 1 of 3
Bistritsa
(Away) 30 May
Botev Ihtiman
3 : 0 Bistritsa
23 May
Bistritsa
0 : 3 CSKA Sofia III
16 May
Levski Sofia II
3 : 0 Bistritsa
09 May
Bistritsa
0 : 3 Septemvri Simitli
02 May
Slivnishki Geroy
3 : 0 Bistritsa
Page 1 of 7
30 May
Botev Ihtiman
3 : 0 Bistritsa
16 May
Levski Sofia II
3 : 0 Bistritsa
02 May
Slivnishki Geroy
3 : 0 Bistritsa
18 Apr
Kyustendil
3 : 0 Bistritsa
04 Apr
Kostinbrod
3 : 0 Bistritsa
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vihren | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 81:34 | 83 |
| 2 | Kyustendil | 36 | 24 | 4 | 8 | 98:46 | 76 |
| 3 | Oborishte Panagyurishte | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 63:33 | 67 |
| 4 | Rilski Sportist | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 68:51 | 62 |
| 5 | Bansko | 36 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 45:31 | 56 |
| 6 | Balkan Botevgrad | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 60:56 | 54 |
| 7 | Pirin Razlog | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 57:47 | 53 |
| 8 | Septemvri Simitli | 36 | 16 | 5 | 15 | 47:46 | 53 |
| 9 | Bistritsa | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 52:51 | 52 |
| 10 | Septemvri Sofia 2 | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 46:48 | 52 |
| 11 | Levski Sofia II | 36 | 14 | 6 | 16 | 39:43 | 48 |
| 12 | Gotse Delchev | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 43:57 | 47 |
| 13 | CSKA Sofia III | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 50:51 | 46 |
| 14 | Botev Ihtiman | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 40:47 | 45 |
| 15 | Slivnishki Geroy | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 44:45 | 42 |
| 16 | Slavia Sofia 2 | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 41:58 | 38 |
| 17 | CSKA 1948 Sofia III | 36 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 45:70 | 30 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 2 | 36 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 32:64 | 25 |
| 19 | Granit Vladaya | 36 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 34:107 | 11 |
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