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Granit Vladaya vs Septemvri Sofia 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2024/2025
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2024/2025 game between Granit Vladaya and Septemvri Sofia 2 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Granit Vladaya
15%
Draws
76%
Septemvri Sofia 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Septemvri Sofia 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Septemvri Sofia 2 come out ahead of Granit Vladaya on wins alone.
  • Model gives Septemvri Sofia 2 a 76% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - South-West 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Granit Vladaya Clean Sheet 16%
Septemvri Sofia 2 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Granit Vladaya Septemvri Sofia 2
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 2 18
Draws 7 8
Losses 21 8
Goals Scored 0.93 1.62
Goals Conceded 3.07 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2025 Third League - South-West
Granit Vladaya vs Septemvri Sofia 2
1:1
Aug 3, 2024 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Granit Vladaya
5:1
Apr 29, 2023 Third League - South-West
Granit Vladaya vs Septemvri Sofia 2
1:1
Mar 18, 2023 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Granit Vladaya
1:1
May 7, 2022 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Granit Vladaya
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Granit Vladaya 10 / 100
Septemvri Sofia 2 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Granit Vladaya Septemvri Sofia 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Septemvri Sofia 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Granit Vladaya scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Septemvri Sofia 2 conceded in 56% of 34 recent games.

Granit Vladaya went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Septemvri Sofia 2
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Granit Vladaya

(Home)
03 Jun
Granit Vladaya
1 : 4
Levski Sofia II
31 May
Granit Vladaya
0 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad 2
24 May
Septemvri Simitli
4 : 0
Granit Vladaya
17 May
Granit Vladaya
1 : 2
CSKA Sofia III
14 May
Slavia Sofia 2
1 : 0
Granit Vladaya
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Septemvri Sofia 2

(Away)
07 Oct
Natsional Sofia
1 : 2
Septemvri Sofia 2
26 Sept
Septemvri Sofia 2
0 : 1
Chavdar Etropole
12 Sept
Septemvri Sofia 2
2 : 0
Balkan Botevgrad
05 Sept
Kostinbrod
1 : 3
Septemvri Sofia 2
29 Aug
Septemvri Sofia 2
1 : 2
Slivnishki Geroy
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 36 26 5 5 81:34 83
2 Kyustendil 36 24 4 8 98:46 76
3 Oborishte Panagyurishte 36 19 10 7 63:33 67
4 Rilski Sportist 36 18 8 10 68:51 62
5 Bansko 36 15 11 10 45:31 56
6 Balkan Botevgrad 36 15 9 12 60:56 54
7 Pirin Razlog 36 15 8 13 57:47 53
8 Septemvri Simitli 36 16 5 15 47:46 53
9 Bistritsa 36 15 7 14 52:51 52
10 Septemvri Sofia 2 36 15 7 14 46:48 52
11 Levski Sofia II 36 14 6 16 39:43 48
12 Gotse Delchev 36 12 11 13 43:57 47
13 CSKA Sofia III 36 11 13 12 50:51 46
14 Botev Ihtiman 36 11 12 13 40:47 45
15 Slivnishki Geroy 36 10 12 14 44:45 42
16 Slavia Sofia 2 36 9 11 16 41:58 38
17 CSKA 1948 Sofia III 36 7 9 20 45:70 30
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 2 36 5 10 21 32:64 25
19 Granit Vladaya 36 2 8 26 34:107 11
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