Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Granitas Vilnius vs Kaunas United

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Granitas Vilnius advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Granitas Vilnius
20%
Draws
38%
Kaunas United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Granitas Vilnius

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Kaunas United haven't matched Granitas Vilnius's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Granitas Vilnius a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Granitas Vilnius have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Granitas Vilnius, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Granitas Vilnius here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Granitas Vilnius Clean Sheet 20%
Kaunas United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Granitas Vilnius Kaunas United
Matches Played 32 11
Wins 17 7
Draws 6 0
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 2.5 1.33
Goals Conceded 1 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2012 Lithuanian Cup
Granitas Vilnius vs Kaunas United
3:0
Aug 31, 2011 Lithuanian Cup
Granitas Vilnius vs Kaunas United
2:1
Aug 25, 2010 Lithuanian Cup
Kaunas United vs Granitas Vilnius
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Granitas Vilnius 42 / 100
Kaunas United 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Granitas Vilnius Kaunas United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Granitas Vilnius scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Kaunas United conceded in 73% of 11 recent games.

Difficult form: Kaunas United registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Granitas Vilnius VS Kaunas United
2.5 Goals Scored 1.33
1 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Granitas Vilnius

(Home)
05 May
Granitas Vilnius
1 : 2
Viltis Vilnius
24 May
Granitas Vilnius
0 : 4
FK Kauno Zalgiris
06 May
Granitas Vilnius
8 : 0
Kursenai
19 Jun
Granitas Vilnius
0 : 2
FC Stumbras
21 Jun
Saulininkas Siauliai
5 : 3
Granitas Vilnius
Page 1 of 7

Kaunas United

(Away)
31 Aug
Kaunas United
0 : 2
Savanoris
28 Jun
Katastrofa Vilnius
1 : 4
Kaunas United
26 Sept
Granitas Vilnius
3 : 0
Kaunas United
31 Aug
Granitas Vilnius
2 : 1
Kaunas United
06 Jul
Prelegentai Vilnius
2 : 3
Kaunas United
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Zalgiris1
Siauliai0
Polonija Vilnius1
Banga9
FBK Kaunas5
Jambo Klaipeda0
Atlantas0
Suduva9
REO Vilnius2
Tauras Taurage1
FK Klaipeda1
FK Kedainiai5
Kruoja2
FK Atmosfera1
Nevezis Kedainiai0
Ekranas2
Quarter-finals
Zalgiris1
Banga0
FBK Kaunas0
Suduva3
REO Vilnius7
FK Kedainiai1
Kruoja1
Ekranas2
Semi-finals
Zalgiris2
Suduva2
REO Vilnius0
Ekranas4
Final
Zalgiris1
Ekranas0