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Granitas Vilnius vs Kursenai - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup 2012/2013
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Solomin R.
79' Event
Makutunovicius M.
82' Event
Solomin R.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Granitas Vilnius advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Granitas Vilnius
15%
Draws
42%
Kursenai
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Granitas Vilnius

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Granitas Vilnius carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Granitas Vilnius's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Granitas Vilnius have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Granitas Vilnius, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • Granitas Vilnius have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Granitas Vilnius Clean Sheet 20%
Kursenai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Granitas Vilnius Kursenai
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 19 10
Draws 6 1
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 2.32 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.87
Expected Goals (xG) 3.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2022 Lithuanian Cup
Granitas Vilnius vs Kursenai
8:0
Oct 23, 2012 Lithuanian Cup
Granitas Vilnius vs Kursenai
4:0
Oct 13, 2012 I Lyga
Granitas Vilnius vs Kursenai
3:1
Aug 11, 2012 I Lyga
Kursenai vs Granitas Vilnius
0:1
May 26, 2012 I Lyga
Granitas Vilnius vs Kursenai
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Granitas Vilnius Compare

Top Goalscorer Solomin R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Makutunovicius M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.35
Avg xA / game 1.53

Kursenai Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Granitas Vilnius 85 / 100
Kursenai 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Granitas Vilnius Kursenai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Granitas Vilnius Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Granitas Vilnius scored in 85% of their last 34 games.

Kursenai's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Kursenai's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Granitas Vilnius VS Kursenai
2.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Granitas Vilnius

(Home)
05 May
Granitas Vilnius
1 : 2
Viltis Vilnius
24 May
Granitas Vilnius
0 : 4
FK Kauno Zalgiris
06 May
Granitas Vilnius
8 : 0
Kursenai
19 Jun
Granitas Vilnius
0 : 2
FC Stumbras
21 Jun
Saulininkas Siauliai
5 : 3
Granitas Vilnius
Page 1 of 7

Kursenai

(Away)
22 Apr
Kursenai
1 : 10
Transinvest
06 May
Granitas Vilnius
8 : 0
Kursenai
26 Jun
Kursenai
1 : 7
Granitas Klaipeda
27 Oct
Polonija Vilnius
1 : 3
Kursenai
23 Oct
Granitas Vilnius
4 : 0
Kursenai
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Zalgiris -
TBD -
TBD -
Tauras Taurage -
Kursenai 2
Riteriai 1
Kaunas United 0
Granitas Vilnius 3
Silute 2
Prelegentai Vilnius 0
Polonija Vilnius 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris 6
Suduva -
TBD -
FK Kedainiai 0
Atlantas 3
Ekranas -
TBD -
TBD -
Dainava Alytus -
Palanga 2
Ipukis 0
TBD -
Kruoja -
Jonava -
TBD -
AveKo 0
Nevezis Kedainiai 15
Banga -
TBD -
TBD -
Siauliai -
1/8-finals
Zalgiris 3
Tauras Taurage 0
Kursenai 0
Granitas Vilnius 4
Silute 3
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
Suduva 0
Atlantas 1
Ekranas 3
Dainava Alytus 0
Palanga 0
Kruoja 5
Jonava 1
Nevezis Kedainiai 0
Banga 0
Siauliai 1
Quarter-finals
Zalgiris 6
Granitas Vilnius 1
Silute 1
Atlantas 4
Ekranas 2
Kruoja 0
Jonava 1
Siauliai 4
Semi-finals
Zalgiris 1
Atlantas 0
Ekranas 2
Siauliai 4
Final
Zalgiris 4
Siauliai 3