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Granitas Vilnius vs Zalgiris - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup 2012/2013
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Bilinski K.
40' Event
Bilinski K.
42' Event
Bilinski K.

AI Match Summary

Zalgiris in this Lithuanian Cup 2012/2013 tie, finishing 1-6. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Granitas Vilnius
15%
Draws
59%
Zalgiris
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zalgiris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Granitas Vilnius haven't matched Zalgiris's recent run of results.
  • Granitas Vilnius are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Zalgiris arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Zalgiris, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Zalgiris have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Granitas Vilnius Clean Sheet 17%
Zalgiris Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Granitas Vilnius Zalgiris
Matches Played 34 44
Wins 19 23
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 2.32 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 6, 2012 Lithuanian Cup
Granitas Vilnius vs Zalgiris
1:6
May 1, 1999 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs Granitas Vilnius
2:0
Sep 11, 1998 TOPLYGA
Granitas Vilnius vs Zalgiris
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Granitas Vilnius Compare

Top Goalscorer Sadovskij D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Zalgiris Compare

Top Goalscorer Bilinski K.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Janusauskas P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Granitas Vilnius 39 / 100
Zalgiris 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Granitas Vilnius Zalgiris

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Granitas Vilnius Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Granitas Vilnius scored in 85% of their last 34 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Zalgiris conceded in 75% of 44 recent games.

Granitas Vilnius went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Zalgiris
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Granitas Vilnius

(Home)
05 May
Granitas Vilnius
1 : 2
Viltis Vilnius
24 May
Granitas Vilnius
0 : 4
FK Kauno Zalgiris
06 May
Granitas Vilnius
8 : 0
Kursenai
19 Jun
Granitas Vilnius
0 : 2
FC Stumbras
21 Jun
Saulininkas Siauliai
5 : 3
Granitas Vilnius
Page 1 of 7

Zalgiris

(Away)
03 Oct
Zalgiris
0 : 2
FK Panevezys
19 Sept
Transinvest
3 : 0
Zalgiris
16 Sept
Zalgiris
3 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
13 Sept
Suduva
0 : 0
Zalgiris
06 Sept
Zalgiris
1 : 0
FA Siauliai
Page 1 of 9

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Zalgiris -
TBD -
TBD -
Tauras Taurage -
Kursenai 2
Riteriai 1
Kaunas United 0
Granitas Vilnius 3
Silute 2
Prelegentai Vilnius 0
Polonija Vilnius 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris 6
Suduva -
TBD -
FK Kedainiai 0
Atlantas 3
Ekranas -
TBD -
TBD -
Dainava Alytus -
Palanga 2
Ipukis 0
TBD -
Kruoja -
Jonava -
TBD -
AveKo 0
Nevezis Kedainiai 15
Banga -
TBD -
TBD -
Siauliai -
1/8-finals
Zalgiris 3
Tauras Taurage 0
Kursenai 0
Granitas Vilnius 4
Silute 3
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
Suduva 0
Atlantas 1
Ekranas 3
Dainava Alytus 0
Palanga 0
Kruoja 5
Jonava 1
Nevezis Kedainiai 0
Banga 0
Siauliai 1
Quarter-finals
Zalgiris 6
Granitas Vilnius 1
Silute 1
Atlantas 4
Ekranas 2
Kruoja 0
Jonava 1
Siauliai 4
Semi-finals
Zalgiris 1
Atlantas 0
Ekranas 2
Siauliai 4
Final
Zalgiris 4
Siauliai 3