Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Granville vs Sarreguemines

France France

Coupe de France 2015/2016
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Vauvy T.
38'
Wengert A.
40'
Guendez U.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Granville advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Granville
20%
Draws
51%
Sarreguemines
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sarreguemines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sarreguemines come out ahead of Granville on wins alone.
  • Sarreguemines are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Sarreguemines arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Granville, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
Granville Clean Sheet 16%
Sarreguemines Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Granville Sarreguemines
Matches Played 30 17
Wins 6 10
Draws 10 0
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.2 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2016 Coupe de France
Granville vs Sarreguemines
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Granville Compare

Top Goalscorer Vauvy T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jegu F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Sarreguemines Compare

Top Goalscorer M'Barki E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Granville 23 / 100
Sarreguemines 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Granville Sarreguemines

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarreguemines Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Granville found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Sarreguemines has conceded goals in 88% of their last 17 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Granville went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Granville VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Granville

(Home)
21 Aug
Granville
1 : 3
Bayonne
30 Jul
Laval
3 : 1
Granville
16 May
Chauray
0 : 1
Granville
09 May
Granville
1 : 1
Avranches
02 May
Granville
0 : 0
La Roche Vendee
Page 1 of 6

Sarreguemines

(Away)
28 Nov
Sarreguemines
3 : 4
Nancy
15 Nov
Sarreguemines
5 : 3
Furiani Agliani
05 Jan
Sarreguemines
0 : 2
Valenciennes
09 Dec
Sarreguemines
3 : 0
Biesheim
19 Nov
Jarville
2 : 4
Sarreguemines
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Lorient -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Libourne 2
Bourges 18 1
Saumur Olympique 0
Tours 2
Saint-Omer 2
Le Havre 0
Douai 0
Yvetot 2
Paris FC 1
CMS Oissel 0
Gonfreville 0
Boulogne 6
Niort 5
La Rochelle 1
La Gacilly 0
Les Herbiers 4
Nimes 1
Frontignan AC 0
Lucon 2
Moulins 3
Villefranche 2
Louhans Cuiseaux 0
GOAL FC 1
Grenoble 3
Schirrhein 2
Reding 0
Magny 0
Sarre Union 1
Saint-Malo 3
Red Star 1
Pirae 5
Pontivy 6
Orvault 3
St. Saturnin 1
Paimpol 0
Avranches 2
Rodeo 2
Perpignan 0
Thiers 0
Stade Bordelais 2
Genets 3
Vic Le Comte 0
Stade Balarucois 1
Stade Montois 7
Guingamp -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ailly sur Somme FC 3
Vimy 1
Sens 0
Chantilly 3
Sainte-Marienne 2
Saint Lo Manche 0
Cholet ASPTT 0
Vertou 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
GFC Ajaccio -
St Etienne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Colmar 4
Selongey 1
Clouange 0
Raon L Etape 3
De Volvic 1
Nord 17 0
Bourges 2
Gueret 3
Excelsior 1
Poissy 0
Bretigny Foot 1
AC Ajaccio 2
Concarneau 4
Montgermont 0
Zouasia 0
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 3
St. Renan 3
Liffre 2
Change 2
TA Rennes 3
Dunkerque 3
Reims Ste Anne 0
Aubervilliers 2
SC Hazebrouck 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Troyes -
Lyon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lege Capferret 4
Agouado 0
Auxerre 1
Limoges 2
Reims -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Orleans 7
Sauveur 1
Golden Star 0
Chambly 1
Toulouse -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quevilly 2
Lens 1
St Ouen 2
Sannois 3
Wasquehal 1
Prix les Mezieres 0
Montceau 1
Metz 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSG -
Sochaux 2
Strasbourg 1
Dinsheim 2
Nancy 4
Alfortville 2
L'Etoile 1
Ebersheim 1
A.S. Pagny 2
Sedan 4
Creil 1
Saint-Amand 0
IC Croix 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bastia -
Thonon-Evian 1
Athletico Marseille 0
Andrezieux 1
Lyon - La Duchere 2
Pontcharra St Loup 2
Limonest 1
Gieres 0
Annecy 3
Villefranche Saint-Jean Beaulieu 3
Istres 0
Saint Die 0
Hauts Lyonnais 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
Bordeaux -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Beziers 1
Sete 0
Espaly 1
Frejus Saint Raphael 3
Besancon RC 2
Jura Sud 1
Noisy Le Sec 1
Golden Lion 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Angers -
Mantes 4
Iracoubo 0
Amiens SC 1
Marck 2
Brest 3
Montagnarde 0
Fougeres 0
Stade Briochin 1
Blanc Mesnil 1
Versailles 0
Balagne Rousse 3
Mainvilliers 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nantes -
Granville 2
SU Dives 0
Viry-Chatillon 1
Saint Nazaire 2
CPB Brequigny 3
Rostrenen 0
La Suze 1
Laval 2
Valenciennes 1
Creteil 0
Borgo FC (Inactive) 0
Beauvais 1
Dijon 9
Veyle Saone 0
Schiltigheim 1
Sarreguemines 2
Rennes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nice -
Mulhouse 2
Moulien 1
APM Metz 0
St. Louis Neuweg 3
Montelimar 1
Echirolles FC 0
Berre SP 1
Bourg Peronnas 2
Trelissac 10
Panazol 0
Blagnac 1
Clermont 3
Montauban 4
Toulouse Saint 2
Colomiers 1
AS Muret 3
Amiens AC 2
Bethune 0
Olympique Marcquois 3
Maubeuge 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lille -
Montpellier -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Besancon FC 4
Chassieu Decines 0
Hienghene Sport 2
Epernay 3
Caen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marseille -
1/64-finals
Lorient -
TBD -
Libourne 0
Tours 2
Saint-Omer 2
Yvetot 1
Paris FC 1
Boulogne 3
Niort 3
Les Herbiers 1
Nimes 0
Moulins 1
Villefranche 1
Grenoble 0
Schirrhein 1
Sarre Union 6
Saint-Malo 3
Pontivy 0
Orvault 1
Avranches 5
Rodeo 1
Stade Bordelais 0
Genets 1
Stade Montois 2
Guingamp -
TBD -
Ailly sur Somme FC 1
Chantilly 3
Sainte-Marienne 3
Vertou 2
TBD -
GFC Ajaccio -
St Etienne -
TBD -
Colmar 1
Raon L Etape 2
De Volvic 4
Gueret 2
Excelsior 0
AC Ajaccio 1
Concarneau 2
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 0
St. Renan 0
TA Rennes 4
Dunkerque 1
SC Hazebrouck 0
TBD -
Troyes -
Lyon -
TBD -
Lege Capferret 1
Limoges 2
Reims -
TBD -
Orleans 3
Chambly 4
Toulouse -
TBD -
Quevilly 1
Sannois 2
Wasquehal 2
Metz 1
TBD -
PSG -
Sochaux 1
Nancy 0
Alfortville 0
A.S. Pagny 1
Sedan 2
IC Croix 1
TBD -
Bastia -
Thonon-Evian 1
Lyon - La Duchere 0
Pontcharra St Loup 0
Annecy 5
Villefranche Saint-Jean Beaulieu 3
Hauts Lyonnais 1
TBD -
Monaco -
Bordeaux -
TBD -
Beziers 0
Frejus Saint Raphael 1
Besancon RC 2
Golden Lion 1
TBD -
Angers -
Mantes 2
Marck 0
Brest 0
Stade Briochin 2
Blanc Mesnil 3
Mainvilliers 0
TBD -
Nantes -
Granville 2
Saint Nazaire 0
CPB Brequigny 1
Laval 4
Valenciennes 2
Beauvais 1
Dijon 1
Sarreguemines 2
Rennes -
TBD -
TBD -
Nice -
Mulhouse 3
St. Louis Neuweg 2
Montelimar 1
Bourg Peronnas 2
Trelissac 1
Clermont 0
Montauban 0
AS Muret 3
Amiens AC 1
Maubeuge 0
TBD -
Lille -
Montpellier -
TBD -
Besancon FC 1
Epernay 2
Caen -
TBD -
TBD -
Marseille -
1/32-finals
Lorient 3
Tours 2
Saint-Omer 2
Boulogne 3
Niort 2
Moulins 1
Villefranche 1
Sarre Union 2
Saint-Malo 2
Avranches 1
Rodeo 0
Stade Montois 1
Guingamp 4
Chantilly 0
Sainte-Marienne 0
GFC Ajaccio 2
St Etienne 2
Raon L Etape 1
De Volvic 0
AC Ajaccio 1
Concarneau 3
TA Rennes 0
Dunkerque 3
Troyes 4
Lyon 7
Limoges 0
Reims 1
Chambly 4
Toulouse 5
Sannois 0
Wasquehal 0
PSG 1
Sochaux 2
A.S. Pagny 0
Sedan 0
Bastia 2
Thonon-Evian 4
Annecy 1
Villefranche Saint-Jean Beaulieu 2
Monaco 10
Bordeaux 3
Frejus Saint Raphael 2
Besancon RC 1
Angers 3
Mantes 2
Stade Briochin 0
Blanc Mesnil 0
Nantes 2
Granville 2
Laval 1
Valenciennes 0
Sarreguemines 1
Rennes 3
Nice 2
Mulhouse 1
Bourg Peronnas 3
Trelissac 2
AS Muret 0
Amiens AC 0
Lille 1
Montpellier 1
Epernay 0
Caen 0
Marseille 1
1/16-finals
Lorient 3
Boulogne 1
Niort 0
Sarre Union 1
Saint-Malo 1
Stade Montois 0
Guingamp 0
GFC Ajaccio 3
St Etienne 2
AC Ajaccio 1
Concarneau 1
Troyes 3
Lyon 2
Chambly 0
Toulouse 1
PSG 2
Sochaux 2
Bastia 1
Thonon-Evian 1
Monaco 3
Bordeaux 2
Angers 1
Mantes 0
Nantes 1
Granville 3
Sarreguemines 1
Rennes 1
Bourg Peronnas 3
Trelissac 2
Lille 1
Montpellier 0
Marseille 2
1/8-finals
Lorient 4
Sarre Union 0
Saint-Malo 1
GFC Ajaccio 2
St Etienne 2
Troyes 1
Lyon 0
PSG 3
Sochaux 2
Monaco 1
Bordeaux 3
Nantes 4
Granville 1
Bourg Peronnas 0
Trelissac 0
Marseille 2
Quarter-finals
Lorient 3
GFC Ajaccio 0
St Etienne 1
PSG 3
Sochaux 3
Nantes 2
Granville 0
Marseille 1
Semi-finals
Lorient 0
PSG 1
Sochaux 0
Marseille 1
Final
PSG 4
Marseille 2