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Grapiuna vs Botafogo BA

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2021
Sat, Jul 24, 2021
0 - 1
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Botafogo BA in this Baiano 2 2021 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Grapiuna
30%
Draws
37%
Botafogo BA
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Botafogo BA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Botafogo BA lately — more wins on the board than Grapiuna.
  • Model gives Botafogo BA a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Botafogo BA arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Botafogo BA, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Grapiuna Clean Sheet 15%
Botafogo BA Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grapiuna Botafogo BA
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 0.97 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.06 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2022 Baiano 2
Grapiuna vs Botafogo BA
1:2
Jul 24, 2021 Baiano 2
Grapiuna vs Botafogo BA
0:1
Jul 4, 2021 Baiano 2
Botafogo BA vs Grapiuna
0:1
May 24, 2015 Baiano 2
Botafogo BA vs Grapiuna
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grapiuna 10 / 100
Botafogo BA 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grapiuna Botafogo BA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botafogo BA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo BA let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Grapiuna stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Grapiuna's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Grapiuna VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Grapiuna

(Home)
05 Jul
Grapiuna
0 : 6
Leonico
20 Jun
Camacari
1 : 3
Grapiuna
14 Jun
Grapiuna
0 : 7
Feira FC
07 Jun
Redencao
2 : 2
Grapiuna
31 May
Vitoria da Conquista
0 : 2
Grapiuna
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Botafogo BA

(Away)
10 Jul
Botafogo BA
1 : 1
CE Flamengo
03 Jul
Jacobina
1 : 0
Botafogo BA
29 Jun
Botafogo BA
2 : 1
Juazeiro
26 Jun
Feirense
2 : 2
Botafogo BA
19 Jun
Botafogo BA
1 : 0
Galicia
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Grapiuna 0
Botafogo BA 1
Colo Colo 0
Barcelona FC 1
Final
Botafogo BA 2
Barcelona FC 4