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Grapiuna vs Itabuna

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2022
Grapiuna Logo

Grapiuna

0 - 0
FT
Itabuna Logo

Itabuna

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Baiano 2 2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Grapiuna
30%
Draws
37%
Itabuna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Itabuna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Grapiuna haven't matched Itabuna's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Itabuna a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Grapiuna Clean Sheet 10%
Itabuna Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grapiuna Itabuna
Matches Played 43 42
Wins 12 20
Draws 9 14
Losses 22 8
Goals Scored 1.05 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.95 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.41 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2025 Baiano 2
Itabuna vs Grapiuna
2:0
May 29, 2022 Baiano 2
Grapiuna vs Itabuna
0:0
May 3, 2015 Baiano 2
Grapiuna vs Itabuna
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grapiuna 10 / 100
Itabuna 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grapiuna Itabuna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Itabuna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Grapiuna has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Grapiuna's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 43 recent games.

Itabuna let in goals in 55% of their last 42 matches.

Scoring Trends

Grapiuna VS Itabuna
0.38 Goals Scored 1.14
4.13 Goals Conceded 0.43
100% Over 1.5 43%
88% Over 2.5 29%
50% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Grapiuna

(Home)
05 Jul
Grapiuna
0 : 6
Leonico
20 Jun
Camacari
1 : 3
Grapiuna
14 Jun
Grapiuna
0 : 7
Feira FC
07 Jun
Redencao
2 : 2
Grapiuna
31 May
Vitoria da Conquista
0 : 2
Grapiuna
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Itabuna

(Away)
13 Jul
Itabuna
0 : 1
Galicia
06 Jul
Galicia
0 : 0
Itabuna
29 Jun
SSA
0 : 0
Itabuna
15 Jun
Itabuna
1 : 0
Bahia de Feira
08 Jun
Teixeira de Freitas
0 : 3
Itabuna
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jequie 11 7 1 3 14:10 22
2 Jacobinense 11 6 2 3 17:9 20
3 Juazeiro 11 5 5 1 18:8 20
4 Itabuna 11 5 4 2 15:10 19
5 Jacobina 11 5 2 4 17:10 17
6 Botafogo BA 11 4 4 3 11:12 16
7 Galicia 11 4 3 4 11:12 15
8 CE Flamengo 11 4 2 5 10:8 14
9 Fluminense de Feira 11 3 4 4 8:12 13
10 Canaa EC 11 2 5 4 13:16 11
11 Feirense 11 2 1 8 7:18 7
12 Grapiuna 11 1 3 7 6:22 6
Promotion - Baiano 2 2022 (Play Offs)