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Grapiuna vs Juazeiro

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Baiano 2 2015 game between Grapiuna and Juazeiro finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Juazeiro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Grapiuna
30%
Draws
29%
Juazeiro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grapiuna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Grapiuna have managed 0.94 goals a game lately — Juazeiro are scoring more at 1.3.
  • Win probability leans Juazeiro's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Baiano 2 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Juazeiro here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Grapiuna Clean Sheet 15%
Juazeiro Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grapiuna Juazeiro
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 6 11
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0.94 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2023 Baiano 2
Juazeiro vs Grapiuna
1:2
Jul 3, 2022 Baiano 2
Juazeiro vs Grapiuna
5:0
Apr 19, 2015 Baiano 2
Grapiuna vs Juazeiro
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grapiuna 10 / 100
Juazeiro 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grapiuna Juazeiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juazeiro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Juazeiro let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Grapiuna has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Grapiuna scored in 50% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Grapiuna VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Grapiuna

(Home)
05 Jul
Grapiuna
0 : 6
Leonico
20 Jun
Camacari
1 : 3
Grapiuna
14 Jun
Grapiuna
0 : 7
Feira FC
07 Jun
Redencao
2 : 2
Grapiuna
31 May
Vitoria da Conquista
0 : 2
Grapiuna
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Juazeiro

(Away)
09 Jul
Juazeiro
1 : 2
Grapiuna
02 Jul
Jequie
1 : 0
Juazeiro
27 Jun
Juazeiro
1 : 1
UNIRB
18 Jun
Jacobina
0 : 0
Juazeiro
11 Jun
Juazeiro
4 : 0
Leonico
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense de Feira 8 5 1 2 15:10 16
2 CE Flamengo 8 4 3 1 13:6 15
3 Juazeiro 8 4 2 2 13:13 14
4 Itabuna 8 3 3 2 13:10 12
5 EC Ypiranga 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
6 Grapiuna 8 3 1 4 11:9 10
7 Botafogo BA 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
8 Alagoinhas 8 1 3 4 5:10 6
9 Jequie 8 1 2 5 10:21 5
Promotion - Baiano 2 2015 (Play Offs)