Sport Picks
Match Events
16'
16'
Marzierli E.
52'
52'
Cruz W.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group E 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
35%
46%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Flaminia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
19%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Flaminia lately — more wins on the board than Grassina.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Serie D - Group E 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Grassina Clean Sheet 68%
Flaminia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Grassina | Flaminia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 16 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Grassina vs Flaminia
0:1
Apr 1, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Grassina vs Flaminia
1:1
Dec 13, 2020 Serie D - Group E
Flaminia vs Grassina
0:0
Feb 16, 2020 Serie D - Group E
Grassina vs Flaminia
2:0
Oct 13, 2019 Serie D - Group E
Flaminia vs Grassina
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Grassina Compare
Top Goalscorer Marzierli E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Flaminia Compare
Top Goalscorer Cruz W.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Grassina 41 / 100
Flaminia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Grassina Flaminia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Grassina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Flaminia conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.
Grassina scored in 55% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 1.20 goals.
Grassina has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Grassina VS Flaminia
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Grassina
(Home) 04 Oct
Grassina
3 : 6 Lucchese
27 Sept
Mezzolara
0 : 0 Grassina
20 Sept
Grassina
2 : 3 Scandicci
16 Sept
Prato
1 : 1 Grassina
13 Sept
Grassina
0 : 1 Flaminia
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Grassina
3 : 6 Lucchese
20 Sept
Grassina
2 : 3 Scandicci
13 Sept
Grassina
0 : 1 Flaminia
13 Jun
Grassina
0 : 1 Sporting Trestina
06 Jun
Grassina
3 : 2 Montespaccato
Page 1 of 3
Flaminia
(Away) 07 Oct
Flaminia
0 : 3 Siena
04 Oct
Flaminia
1 : 1 Follonica Gavorrano
27 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 1 San Donato Tavarnelle
20 Sept
Terranuova Traiana
5 : 1 Flaminia
16 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 2 Sasso Marconi
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Terranuova Traiana
5 : 1 Flaminia
13 Sept
Grassina
0 : 1 Flaminia
26 Jul
Lazio
6 : 0 Flaminia
10 May
Monastir
3 : 3 Flaminia
03 May
Montespaccato
2 : 4 Flaminia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montevarchi | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 68:32 | 71 |
| 2 | Trastevere Calcio | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 56:38 | 60 |
| 3 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 48:33 | 56 |
| 4 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48:40 | 54 |
| 5 | Siena | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 48:40 | 53 |
| 6 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 48:37 | 51 |
| 7 | Pianese | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 41:34 | 51 |
| 8 | Lornano Badesse | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 51:44 | 48 |
| 9 | Tiferno Lerchi | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44:48 | 47 |
| 10 | Cannara | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 41:48 | 47 |
| 11 | Sangiovannese | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 42:43 | 45 |
| 12 | Montespaccato | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 40:47 | 41 |
| 13 | Ostiamare | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 50:54 | 39 |
| 14 | Flaminia | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 44:57 | 39 |
| 15 | Foligno | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 35:48 | 36 |
| 16 | Scandicci | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 42:49 | 35 |
| 17 | Grassina | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 32:52 | 30 |
| 18 | UC Sinalunghese | 34 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 24:58 | 23 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
