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Grassina vs Rondinella - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Grassina host Rondinella in the Serie D - Group E. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Grassina at 0.97 goals for, 1.52 against; Rondinella at 0.75 for, 1.25 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.50) point toward Rondinella. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Grassina
35%
Draws
40%
Rondinella
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rondinella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Grassina come out ahead of Rondinella on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Grassina Clean Sheet 16%
Rondinella Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grassina Rondinella
Matches Played 29 8
Wins 5 2
Draws 10 3
Losses 14 3
Goals Scored 0.97 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grassina 31 / 100
Rondinella 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grassina Rondinella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rondinella Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Grassina stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Grassina found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Rondinella's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 8 matches.

Away concern: Rondinella has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Grassina VS Rondinella
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Grassina

(Home)
18 Oct
Grassina
1 : 0
SCD Progresso
11 Oct
Tau
1 : 1
Grassina
04 Oct
Grassina
3 : 6
Lucchese
27 Sept
Mezzolara
0 : 0
Grassina
20 Sept
Grassina
2 : 3
Scandicci
Page 1 of 6

Rondinella

(Away)
18 Oct
Rondinella
0 : 0
Seravezza Pozzi
11 Oct
Montevarchi
0 : 1
Rondinella
04 Oct
Rondinella
2 : 1
SCD Progresso
27 Sept
Tau
3 : 2
Rondinella
20 Sept
Rondinella
0 : 0
Lucchese
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prato 8 5 3 0 12:5 18
2 Follonica Gavorrano 8 4 4 0 11:5 16
3 Seravezza Pozzi 8 4 2 2 15:5 14
4 Lucchese 8 4 2 2 18:15 14
5 Siena 8 4 1 3 15:10 13
6 Tau 8 4 1 3 11:14 13
7 Ternana 8 3 3 2 13:8 12
8 Scandicci 8 3 3 2 13:9 12
9 Terranuova Traiana 8 3 3 2 13:10 12
10 Flaminia 8 3 3 2 10:11 12
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 8 3 2 3 9:10 11
12 Montevarchi 8 3 1 4 12:12 10
13 Mezzolara 8 1 6 1 7:9 9
14 Rondinella 8 2 3 3 6:10 9
15 Sasso Marconi 8 2 2 4 10:13 8
16 Grassina 8 1 3 4 8:14 6
17 SCD Progresso 8 1 0 7 4:17 3
18 Ghiviborgo 8 0 2 6 6:16 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)