Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Grassina vs Scandicci

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

88' Event
Borgarello M.
90' Event
Baccini D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group E 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Grassina
30%
Draws
62%
Scandicci
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Scandicci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Grassina haven't matched Scandicci's recent run of results.
  • Scandicci are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Grassina Clean Sheet 19%
Scandicci Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grassina Scandicci
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 4 12
Draws 10 16
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 0.9 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Grassina vs Scandicci
2:3
May 16, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Grassina vs Scandicci
1:1
Jan 17, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Scandicci vs Grassina
0:0
Feb 2, 2020 Serie D - Group E
Grassina vs Scandicci
1:0
Sep 29, 2019 Serie D - Group E
Scandicci vs Grassina
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grassina Compare

Top Goalscorer Baccini D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Scandicci Compare

Top Goalscorer Borgarello M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grassina 20 / 100
Scandicci 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grassina Scandicci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Scandicci Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Scandicci let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Grassina found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Grassina remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Grassina VS Scandicci
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
17% Over 2.5 38%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Grassina

(Home)
20 Sept
Grassina
2 : 3
Scandicci
16 Sept
Prato
1 : 1
Grassina
13 Sept
Grassina
0 : 1
Flaminia
06 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 0
Grassina
13 Aug
Montevarchi
1 : 0
Grassina
Page 1 of 6

Scandicci

(Away)
20 Sept
Grassina
2 : 3
Scandicci
16 Sept
Scandicci
3 : 0
Rondinella
12 Sept
SCD Progresso
2 : 1
Scandicci
06 Sept
Scandicci
1 : 1
Siena
26 Aug
Sangiovannese
3 : 3
Scandicci
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montevarchi 34 21 8 5 68:32 71
2 Trastevere Calcio 34 17 9 8 56:38 60
3 Sporting Trestina 34 15 11 8 48:33 56
4 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 14 12 8 48:40 54
5 Siena 34 15 8 11 48:40 53
6 Follonica Gavorrano 34 14 9 11 48:37 51
7 Pianese 34 13 12 9 41:34 51
8 Lornano Badesse 34 13 9 12 51:44 48
9 Tiferno Lerchi 34 13 8 13 44:48 47
10 Cannara 34 12 11 11 41:48 47
11 Sangiovannese 34 12 9 13 42:43 45
12 Montespaccato 34 11 8 15 40:47 41
13 Ostiamare 34 8 15 11 50:54 39
14 Flaminia 34 9 12 13 44:57 39
15 Foligno 34 9 9 16 35:48 36
16 Scandicci 34 10 7 17 42:49 35
17 Grassina 34 6 12 16 32:52 30
18 UC Sinalunghese 34 4 11 19 24:58 23
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2020/2021 (Play Offs)