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Grassina vs Sporting Trestina

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Fode S.

AI Match Summary

Sporting Trestina in this Serie D - Group E 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sporting Trestina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Grassina
30%
Draws
47%
Sporting Trestina
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sporting Trestina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sporting Trestina lately — more wins on the board than Grassina.
  • Grassina are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Grassina Clean Sheet 20%
Sporting Trestina Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grassina Sporting Trestina
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 4 9
Draws 10 11
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.83 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.22 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Grassina vs Sporting Trestina
0:1
Feb 10, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Sporting Trestina vs Grassina
2:0
Apr 19, 2020 Serie D - Group E
Sporting Trestina vs Grassina
0:0
Dec 8, 2019 Serie D - Group E
Grassina vs Sporting Trestina
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grassina Compare

Avg xG / game 0.94
Avg xA / game 0.61

Sporting Trestina Compare

Top Goalscorer Fode S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grassina 36 / 100
Sporting Trestina 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grassina Sporting Trestina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Trestina let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Sporting Trestina lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Grassina's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.25 goals.

Scoring Trends

Grassina VS Sporting Trestina
0.43 Goals Scored 1.13
1.14 Goals Conceded 2
43% Over 1.5 88%
14% Over 2.5 25%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Grassina

(Home)
27 Sept
Mezzolara
0 : 0
Grassina
20 Sept
Grassina
2 : 3
Scandicci
16 Sept
Prato
1 : 1
Grassina
13 Sept
Grassina
0 : 1
Flaminia
06 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 0
Grassina
Page 1 of 6

Sporting Trestina

(Away)
27 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 0
Termoli
20 Sept
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 0
Sporting Trestina
16 Sept
Sporting Trestina
0 : 1
Fossombrone
12 Sept
Lanciano FC
0 : 0
Sporting Trestina
06 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 5
Vigor Senigallia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montevarchi 34 21 8 5 68:32 71
2 Trastevere Calcio 34 17 9 8 56:38 60
3 Sporting Trestina 34 15 11 8 48:33 56
4 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 14 12 8 48:40 54
5 Siena 34 15 8 11 48:40 53
6 Follonica Gavorrano 34 14 9 11 48:37 51
7 Pianese 34 13 12 9 41:34 51
8 Lornano Badesse 34 13 9 12 51:44 48
9 Tiferno Lerchi 34 13 8 13 44:48 47
10 Cannara 34 12 11 11 41:48 47
11 Sangiovannese 34 12 9 13 42:43 45
12 Montespaccato 34 11 8 15 40:47 41
13 Ostiamare 34 8 15 11 50:54 39
14 Flaminia 34 9 12 13 44:57 39
15 Foligno 34 9 9 16 35:48 36
16 Scandicci 34 10 7 17 42:49 35
17 Grassina 34 6 12 16 32:52 30
18 UC Sinalunghese 34 4 11 19 24:58 23
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2020/2021 (Play Offs)