Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
D'Anna S.
45'
45'
Santoro D.
80'
80'
Santoro D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
35%
20%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gravina
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Gravina lately — more wins on the board than A.C.D. Nardo.
- 45% — that's where the model lands on Gravina taking it.
- Regular Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Gravina Clean Sheet 68%
A.C.D. Nardo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gravina | A.C.D. Nardo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 8 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 18, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Gravina vs A.C.D. Nardo
2:2
Sep 21, 2025 Serie D - Group H
A.C.D. Nardo vs Gravina
1:1
Mar 2, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Gravina vs A.C.D. Nardo
2:0
Oct 27, 2024 Serie D - Group H
A.C.D. Nardo vs Gravina
5:1
Jan 21, 2024 Serie D - Group H
A.C.D. Nardo vs Gravina
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gravina Compare
Top Goalscorer Santoro D.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
A.C.D. Nardo Compare
Top Goalscorer D'Anna S.
1 Goals Assists Leader De Luca A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gravina 77 / 100
A.C.D. Nardo 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gravina A.C.D. Nardo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gravina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Gravina stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Gravina scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
A.C.D. Nardo let in goals in 50% of their last 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Gravina VS A.C.D. Nardo
2.25 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Gravina
(Home) 20 Sept
Gravina
2 : 2 Real Forio 2014
16 Sept
Turris
0 : 0 Gravina
12 Sept
Gravina
3 : 1 San Felice Gladiator
06 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 3 Gravina
03 May
Gravina
3 : 2 Real Normanna
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Gravina
2 : 2 Real Forio 2014
12 Sept
Gravina
3 : 1 San Felice Gladiator
03 May
Gravina
3 : 2 Real Normanna
19 Apr
Gravina
1 : 0 Paganese
02 Apr
Gravina
0 : 0 Martina Calcio
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A.C.D. Nardo
(Away) 20 Sept
Ischia
1 : 2 A.C.D. Nardo
16 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 0 Melfi
12 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 1 A.C.D. Nardo
06 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 2 Bisceglie
10 May
Martina Calcio
2 : 1 A.C.D. Nardo
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Ischia
1 : 2 A.C.D. Nardo
12 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 1 A.C.D. Nardo
10 May
Martina Calcio
2 : 1 A.C.D. Nardo
26 Apr
Ferrandina
1 : 0 A.C.D. Nardo
12 Apr
Sarnese
0 : 0 A.C.D. Nardo
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barletta | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 54:20 | 70 |
| 2 | Martina Calcio | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 47:30 | 62 |
| 3 | Citta di Fasano | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51:35 | 62 |
| 4 | Paganese | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 36:32 | 58 |
| 5 | A.C.D. Nardo | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 40:27 | 55 |
| 6 | Gravina | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 50:40 | 55 |
| 7 | Afragolese | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 45:46 | 49 |
| 8 | Fidelis Andria | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 35:28 | 48 |
| 9 | Virtus Francavilla | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Normanna | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 27:26 | 43 |
| 11 | Francavilla | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39:38 | 43 |
| 12 | Manfredonia | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 34:39 | 43 |
| 13 | Sarnese | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 51:49 | 41 |
| 14 | SS Nola 1925 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:50 | 41 |
| 15 | Heraclea | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 31:39 | 38 |
| 16 | Pompei | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 26:38 | 34 |
| 17 | Ferrandina | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 21:43 | 30 |
| 18 | Acerrana | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 20:74 | 14 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)
