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Gravina vs Angri

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Cavaliere L.
43' Event
Gonzalez A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 game between Gravina and Angri finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gravina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Gravina
20%
Draws
22%
Angri
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gravina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gravina come out ahead of Angri on wins alone.
  • Gravina are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Gravina Clean Sheet 68%
Angri Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gravina Angri
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 20 5
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.61 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.05 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Angri vs Gravina
2:0
Oct 23, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Gravina vs Angri
2:0
Feb 28, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Gravina vs Angri
1:1
Oct 22, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Angri vs Gravina
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gravina Compare

Top Goalscorer Cavaliere L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Angri Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gravina 95 / 100
Angri 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gravina Angri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gravina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Angri has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Gravina scored in 66% of their last 38 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Gravina went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gravina VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gravina

(Home)
27 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 0
Gravina
20 Sept
Gravina
2 : 2
Real Forio 2014
16 Sept
Turris
0 : 0
Gravina
12 Sept
Gravina
3 : 1
San Felice Gladiator
06 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 3
Gravina
Page 1 of 8

Angri

(Away)
04 May
Angri
3 : 1
Costa Amalfi
27 Apr
Nocerina
6 : 0
Angri
17 Apr
Matera
3 : 1
Angri
13 Apr
Angri
2 : 3
Citta di Fasano
06 Apr
Virtus Francavilla
4 : 0
Angri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Casarano 34 21 11 2 72:30 74
2 Nocerina 34 20 10 4 64:27 70
3 Martina Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:28 62
4 Fidelis Andria 34 16 9 9 41:29 57
5 Citta di Fasano 34 13 11 10 45:32 50
6 Matera 34 12 13 9 51:47 49
7 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 11 11 41:34 47
8 A.C.D. Nardo 34 13 8 13 47:45 47
9 Ischia 34 11 12 11 39:45 45
10 Palmese 1914 34 10 12 12 41:45 42
11 Gravina 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
12 Francavilla 34 11 8 15 28:34 41
13 Acerrana 34 11 8 15 37:50 41
14 ASD Ugento 34 10 7 17 33:51 37
15 Manfredonia 34 8 11 15 33:51 35
16 Brindisi 34 9 14 11 44:43 27
17 Angri 34 6 8 20 35:69 26
18 Costa Amalfi 34 3 11 20 26:62 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Out)