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Gravina vs Bitonto Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group H 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Figliolia S.
16' Event
Chiaradia G.
51' Event
Mateus da Silva

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 game between Gravina and Bitonto finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gravina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Gravina
20%
Draws
34%
Bitonto
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gravina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Gravina carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Gravina's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Gravina Clean Sheet 20%
Bitonto Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gravina Bitonto
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.57 0.73
Goals Conceded 1 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Gravina vs Bitonto
5:1
Dec 10, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Bitonto vs Gravina
0:0
Apr 23, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Bitonto vs Gravina
0:2
Dec 11, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Gravina vs Bitonto
1:4
Mar 27, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Bitonto vs Gravina
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gravina Compare

Top Goalscorer Chiaradia G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mateus da Silva
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Bitonto Compare

Top Goalscorer Figliolia S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gravina 85 / 100
Bitonto 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gravina Bitonto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gravina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Gravina found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Bitonto let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Gravina stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gravina VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gravina

(Home)
27 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 0
Gravina
20 Sept
Gravina
2 : 2
Real Forio 2014
16 Sept
Turris
0 : 0
Gravina
12 Sept
Gravina
3 : 1
San Felice Gladiator
06 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 3
Gravina
Page 1 of 6

Bitonto

(Away)
05 May
Casarano
2 : 1
Bitonto
28 Apr
Bitonto
2 : 1
Altamura
21 Apr
Gravina
5 : 1
Bitonto
14 Apr
Bitonto
2 : 0
Palmese 1914
07 Apr
Fidelis Andria
2 : 1
Bitonto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Altamura 34 21 9 4 51:23 72
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 12 4 51:23 66
3 A.C.D. Nardo 34 20 5 9 53:24 65
4 Fidelis Andria 34 17 10 7 58:32 61
5 Casarano 34 15 10 9 45:32 55
6 Matera 34 15 8 11 45:37 53
7 Paganese 34 12 9 13 42:43 45
8 Palmese 1914 34 13 7 14 45:52 45
9 Gelbison 34 11 10 13 41:37 43
10 Rotonda 34 11 9 14 36:36 42
11 Gravina 34 10 11 13 49:44 41
12 Manfredonia 34 9 15 10 28:38 41
13 Citta di Fasano 34 11 8 15 38:57 41
14 Angri 34 10 9 15 35:52 39
15 Gallipoli 34 8 9 17 27:49 33
16 Barletta 34 6 12 16 30:45 30
17 Bitonto 34 7 9 18 22:45 30
18 Santa Maria Cilento 34 5 10 19 22:55 25
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 (Play Out)