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Gravina vs Molfetta Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 game between Gravina and Molfetta Calcio finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Gravina
20%
Draws
28%
Molfetta Calcio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gravina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gravina come out ahead of Molfetta Calcio on wins alone.
  • Gravina are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Gravina Clean Sheet 68%
Molfetta Calcio Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gravina Molfetta Calcio
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 18 8
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.64 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Gravina vs Molfetta Calcio
3:1
Mar 12, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Gravina vs Molfetta Calcio
0:0
Nov 6, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Molfetta Calcio vs Gravina
1:0
May 1, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Molfetta Calcio vs Gravina
1:1
Dec 12, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Gravina vs Molfetta Calcio
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gravina 95 / 100
Molfetta Calcio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gravina Molfetta Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gravina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Gravina stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Gravina found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (36 games).

Molfetta Calcio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Molfetta Calcio's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gravina VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gravina

(Home)
20 Sept
Gravina
2 : 2
Real Forio 2014
16 Sept
Turris
0 : 0
Gravina
12 Sept
Gravina
3 : 1
San Felice Gladiator
06 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 3
Gravina
03 May
Gravina
3 : 2
Real Normanna
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Molfetta Calcio

(Away)
10 Aug
Molfetta Calcio
2 : 1
Barletta
14 May
Gravina
3 : 1
Molfetta Calcio
07 May
Molfetta Calcio
0 : 2
Afragolese
30 Apr
Altamura
2 : 1
Molfetta Calcio
23 Apr
Molfetta Calcio
1 : 0
Nocerina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brindisi 34 20 9 5 59:27 69
2 Cavese 34 20 9 5 66:35 69
3 A.C.D. Nardo 34 18 11 5 51:26 65
4 Barletta 34 17 13 4 42:29 64
5 Casarano 34 13 18 3 46:32 57
6 Altamura 34 15 11 8 51:37 56
7 Matera 34 13 11 10 53:46 50
8 Martina Calcio 34 11 12 11 40:43 45
9 Citta di Fasano 34 11 11 12 43:43 44
10 Bitonto 34 11 10 13 45:51 43
11 Afragolese 34 8 15 11 41:45 39
12 San Felice Gladiator 34 8 13 13 42:55 37
13 Nocerina 34 9 9 16 40:51 36
14 Gravina 34 7 15 12 29:41 36
15 Molfetta Calcio 34 7 11 16 40:50 32
16 Francavilla 34 7 9 18 38:51 30
17 Lavello 34 7 5 22 31:68 26
18 Puteolana Internapoli 34 3 10 21 32:59 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 (Play Out)